Traton SE

XTRA:8TRA Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.0b

Traton Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

Traton has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 26.9%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 9.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 10.5% per year. Traton's return on equity is 6.9%, and it has net margins of 3%.

Key information

26.90%

Earnings growth rate

26.91%

EPS growth rate

Machinery Industry Growth10.65%
Revenue growth rate10.49%
Return on equity6.88%
Net Margin2.99%
Next Earnings Update23 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article May 06

Traton's (ETR:8TRA) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Traton SE's ( ETR:8TRA ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 08

8TRA: 2026 Outlook Will Balance Software Ambitions With Margin Execution Risks

Traton's analyst price target has been adjusted higher, with the fair value estimate moving from about €34.04 to €34.49 as analysts factor in recent price target raises from several banks and updated assumptions around margins, the discount rate, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide range of views on Traton, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets alongside at least one more cautious voice.
Analysis Article May 06

Traton's (ETR:8TRA) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Traton SE's ( ETR:8TRA ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...
Narrative Update Apr 24

8TRA: Mixed 2026 Outlook Will Temper Software Upside And Earnings Potential

Analysts have lifted the average price target for Traton from €32 to €34, citing refreshed views on fair value, growth prospects and earnings quality following recent research updates from several major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed picture on Traton, with some analysts focusing on upside potential and others highlighting constraints that could limit share price performance relative to their fair value estimates.
Narrative Update Apr 10

8TRA: Truck Cycle Reset And One OS Rollout Will Drive Medium Term Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Traton has nudged higher to €46.07 from €45.71. The adjustment reflects recent price target increases from €32 to €34 and €40, and a more supportive analyst stance on future revenue growth, profit margins and truck market conditions.
Narrative Update Mar 27

8TRA: Truck Cycle Reset And Margin Resilience Will Drive Medium Term Upside

Analyst fair value for Traton has been nudged higher to about €45.71, with recent price target moves to €34, €40 and €31.80 reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins and a slightly higher discount rate in a still cautious truck market. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Traton provides a mixed but generally constructive read on sentiment, with several firms revisiting their price targets and ratings as they reassess truck cycle risk, order visibility and valuation.
Narrative Update Mar 12

8TRA: Truck Cycle Stabilisation And Higher Earnings Quality Will Drive Medium Term Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Traton has been adjusted from €44.17 to €45.63 as analysts refine assumptions around future revenue growth, margins and P/E multiples following a series of higher Street price targets, including recent moves to €31.80, €34 and €40. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Traton reflects a mix of caution and optimism, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets while others highlight ongoing risks in key truck markets.
Narrative Update Feb 25

8TRA: Weak 2026 Truck Demand Will Pressure Earnings Power And Rating

Analysts have raised their average price target on Traton by around €0.80, reflecting slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and broadly unchanged margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research opinions on Traton are mixed, with some analysts turning more positive on the share price potential while others highlight execution risks and end market headwinds.
Analysis Article Feb 12

Here's Why Traton (ETR:8TRA) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update Feb 10

8TRA: Truck Cycle Stabilisation And Execution Will Drive Medium Term Upside

Analysts have made a small trim to their fair value estimate for Traton to €44.17 from €44.45, reflecting tempered expectations around future truck demand, even as recent research points to slightly stronger revenue growth, margins and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Traton sends a mixed signal, with one large bank cutting its rating while another adjusts its price target higher.
Narrative Update Jan 27

8TRA: Cost Discipline And Truck Cycle Trough Hopes Will Shape 2025 Outlook

Traton's updated analyst fair value estimate has edged down from about €32.79 to €32.13, as analysts factor in softer truck demand expectations, particularly in North America, alongside mixed views reflected in recent target changes around €32. Analyst Commentary Recent research moves on Traton point to a more cautious tone on truck demand, especially in North America, while still anchoring expectations around the low €30s for fair value.
Analysis Article Jan 15

Is Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Traton is €45.77 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Narrative Update Jan 10

8TRA: Profitability Execution And Reaffirmed Guidance Will Drive Medium Term Upside

Narrative update The updated analyst price target for Traton reflects a modest recalibration in fair value to €44.45 from €44.67, as analysts factor in revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside recent mixed target moves from €27.40 at Citi and €31.80 at Goldman Sachs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Traton points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets clustering in the high €20s to low €30s range and major firms maintaining Neutral stances.
Analysis Article Dec 30

Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x Traton SE ( ETR:8TRA ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...
Narrative Update Dec 27

8TRA: Cost Discipline And Margin Execution Will Shape A Cautious 2025 Outlook

The analyst price target for Traton has been trimmed slightly, slipping by about EUR 0.01 to reflect analysts' more cautious stance following a series of modest target cuts and rating downgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street sentiment around Traton has become more balanced as recent target cuts cluster in a relatively tight range.
Narrative Update Dec 13

8TRA: Margin Discipline And Cash Generation Will Drive Medium Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Traton to EUR 44.67 from EUR 46.87, reflecting more cautious expectations on valuation despite slightly stronger growth and margin assumptions, as recent Street research has converged around lower Neutral to Hold targets. Analyst Commentary Beneath the recent wave of target cuts and rating downgrades, bullish analysts still highlight a constructive medium term outlook for Traton, arguing that the current consolidation in estimates primarily reflects a reset in expectations rather than a deterioration in the company’s fundamental trajectory.
Analysis Article Nov 30

What Is Traton SE's (ETR:8TRA) Share Price Doing?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Traton SE ( ETR:8TRA ). The company's stock saw a decent share...
Narrative Update Nov 27

8TRA: Cost Controls And Earnings Resilience Will Support H2 2024 Rebound

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Traton, citing a modest reduction from approximately EUR 29.50 to 34.00 to a new range of EUR 27.40 to 30.00, reflecting expectations for softer revenue growth and profit margins ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reveal a mixed outlook on Traton’s future performance, with both optimistic and cautionary perspectives shaping the revised price targets and ratings in the market.
Narrative Update Nov 11

8TRA: Unit Sales Guidance Will Drive Renewed Confidence in H2 2024

Traton's fair value estimate decreased by approximately EUR 0.46 following a series of analyst price target reductions. Recent research cited increased discount rates and tempered margin expectations, despite a more optimistic view on revenue growth.
Narrative Update Oct 28

Fleet Decarbonization Momentum Will Persist Despite Heightened Near-Term Market Uncertainty

Traton's analyst price target saw a modest increase to €33.26, up from €33.05. Analysts cite a slight reduction in projected revenue growth but improved profit margin expectations, reflecting their tempered optimism.
Narrative Update Oct 09

Electric Truck And Bus Rollout Will Accelerate Fleet Decarbonization

Traton's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to approximately EUR 33.05 from EUR 33.72. This change reflects analysts' tempered expectations amid lowered revenue growth forecasts, slight reductions in profit margin estimates, and recent target downgrades from several research firms.
Analysis Article Oct 03

Traton (ETR:8TRA) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article Sep 15

Traton SE's (ETR:8TRA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 80% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Traton's estimated fair value is €54.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Traton is estimated to...
Analysis Article Aug 31

Is Traton (ETR:8TRA) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Aug 16

What Does Traton SE's (ETR:8TRA) Share Price Indicate?

Traton SE ( ETR:8TRA ) led the XTRA gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent...
Analysis Article Aug 01

There May Be Reason For Hope In Traton's (ETR:8TRA) Disappointing Earnings

The most recent earnings report from Traton SE ( ETR:8TRA ) was disappointing for shareholders. While the headline...
Analysis Article Jul 24

Improved Earnings Required Before Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Shares Find Their Feet

Traton SE's ( ETR:8TRA ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now...
Analysis Article Jul 04

Traton (ETR:8TRA) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article Jun 13

Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) Shares Could Be 41% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Traton fair value estimate is €49.22 Traton is estimated to be...
Analysis Article May 26

Is Traton (ETR:8TRA) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
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New Narrative Nov 09

Electrification And Innovation Drive Sustainable Growth And Strengthen Competitive Position

Strategic focus on expanding BEV portfolio and innovative products boosts future growth amid rising demand for sustainable transport.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Traton makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

XTRA:8TRA Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2643,6771,3065,0610
31 Dec 2544,0521,5475,1390
30 Sep 2544,5421,7795,1960
30 Jun 2545,9922,1795,2490
31 Mar 2546,2812,5185,2680
31 Dec 2447,4732,8045,2330
30 Sep 2447,9492,5725,0220
30 Jun 2447,4052,5505,1290
31 Mar 2447,4842,6484,9920
31 Dec 2346,8722,4514,9000
30 Sep 2345,9662,4234,9080
30 Jun 2345,2071,6894,8190
31 Mar 2342,9961,2744,7070
31 Dec 2240,3351,1414,5850
30 Sep 2237,4954494,4650
30 Jun 2234,9818024,3820
31 Mar 2232,6017504,1000
31 Dec 2130,6204573,8040
30 Sep 2128,5107083,5980
30 Jun 2126,1285163,1130
31 Mar 2123,445-683,0120
31 Dec 2022,580-1013,0000
30 Sep 2022,8141733,1040
30 Jun 2023,4334743,1890
31 Mar 2026,1671,2363,3550
31 Dec 1926,9011,5203,3640
30 Sep 1927,1311,4193,3010
30 Jun 1926,8591,4913,3030
31 Mar 1926,2891,2283,3330
31 Dec 1825,9271,1403,3260
31 Dec 1724,3668803,2620
31 Dec 1621,9151863,1400

Quality Earnings: 8TRA has a large one-off loss of €534.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: 8TRA's current net profit margins (3%) are lower than last year (5.4%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 8TRA has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 26.9% per year.

Accelerating Growth: 8TRA's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: 8TRA had negative earnings growth (-48.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Machinery industry average (-0.6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: 8TRA's Return on Equity (6.9%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 07:00
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Traton SE is covered by 27 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Erwann DagorneBarclays
Kai MuellerBarclays
Harry MartinBernstein