Stock Analysis
Traton SE's (ETR:8TRA) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Traton SE (ETR:8TRA) as a highly attractive investment with its 5.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Traton certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Traton
How Is Traton's Growth Trending?
Traton's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 51% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 394% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.9% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Traton is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Traton's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Traton (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Traton. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Traton might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:8TRA
Traton
Manufactures and sells commercial vehicles worldwide.