New Risk • May 05
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 8.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Announcement • Apr 09
Alfen N.V., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2026 Alfen N.V., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2026. Location: beursplein 5, 1012 jw, amsterdam Netherlands Reported Earnings • Feb 12
Full year 2025 earnings released: €0.009 loss per share (vs €1.24 loss in FY 2024) Full year 2025 results: €0.009 loss per share (improved from €1.24 loss in FY 2024). Revenue: €435.6m (down 11% from FY 2024). Net loss: €189.0k (loss narrowed 99% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0% (up from net loss in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 51 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. New Risk • Dec 02
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 23% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Announcement • Oct 29
Alfen N.V. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 12, 2026 Alfen N.V. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results at 7:00 PM, Central European Standard Time on May 12, 2026 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 15
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 11% to €9.47. The fair value is estimated to be €7.89, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 7.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Reported Earnings • Aug 22
First half 2025 earnings released: €0.06 loss per share (vs €0.51 loss in 1H 2024) First half 2025 results: €0.06 loss per share (improved from €0.51 loss in 1H 2024). Revenue: €211.5m (down 14% from 1H 2024). Net loss: €1.30m (loss narrowed 88% from 1H 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 35 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • Aug 21
Alfen N.V. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Feb 10, 2026 Alfen N.V. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Feb 10, 2026 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 20
Now 21% undervalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at €11.19. The fair value is estimated to be €14.23, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 31
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 38% to €10.40. The fair value is estimated to be €13.30, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 14
Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 80% to €2.50. The fair value is estimated to be €3.34, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 13
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.1% to €12.35. The fair value is estimated to be €15.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 09
Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 7.4% to €11.55. The fair value is estimated to be €15.20, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Announcement • Mar 10
Alfen N.V., Annual General Meeting, Apr 08, 2025 Alfen N.V., Annual General Meeting, Apr 08, 2025. Location: hefbrugweg 79 1332 am almere, Netherlands Reported Earnings • Feb 14
Full year 2024 earnings released: €1.24 loss per share (vs €1.37 profit in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: €1.24 loss per share (down from €1.37 profit in FY 2023). Revenue: €487.6m (down 3.3% from FY 2023). Net loss: €27.0m (down 191% from profit in FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.8% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 52% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 46% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 03
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to €14.24, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 33.5x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 78% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €24.22 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 06
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to €13.51, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 31.7x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 83% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €24.27 per share. Announcement • Nov 08
Alfen N.V. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 20, 2025 Alfen N.V. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 20, 2025 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 05
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to €12.71, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 75x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 87% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €16.51 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 05
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 64% to €12.71. The fair value is estimated to be €16.51, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 43% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Aug 26
First half 2024 earnings released: €0.51 loss per share (vs €0.43 profit in 1H 2023) First half 2024 results: €0.51 loss per share (down from €0.43 profit in 1H 2023). Revenue: €245.7m (up 9.7% from 1H 2023). Net loss: €11.1m (down 218% from profit in 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.1% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 43% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. New Risk • Aug 22
New minor risk - Financial position The company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 45% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (15% average weekly change). Minor Risks High level of debt (45% net debt to equity). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.8% net profit margin). Announcement • Aug 02
Alfen N.V. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Feb 13, 2025 Alfen N.V. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Feb 13, 2025 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 02
Now 53% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 58% to €19.00. The fair value is estimated to be €40.66, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 15% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 01
Now 55% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 59% to €18.10. The fair value is estimated to be €40.58, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 15% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 27
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 51% After last week's 51% share price decline to €16.97, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 78% over the past three years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 26
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 35% to €31.93. The fair value is estimated to be €40.62, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 16% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Jun 07
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 10% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (10% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (33% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.9% net profit margin). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 22
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to €35.10, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €36.58 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 02
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to €39.69, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 33% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €54.10 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 16
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to €38.14, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 41% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €53.08 per share. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 16
Now 28% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 33% to €38.14. The fair value is estimated to be €53.08, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 19% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 23% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 12
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 9.9% to €45.50. The fair value is estimated to be €57.57, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 19% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 22% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Feb 14
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 5.9% Last year net profit margin: 12% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (32% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.1% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (5.9% net profit margin). Announcement • Jan 21
Alfen N.V. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024 Alfen N.V. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results at 2:00 PM, Central European Standard Time on Feb 13, 2024 New Risk • Nov 13
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (72% accrual ratio). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 06
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to €33.30, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Electrical industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 68% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €49.87 per share. Buying Opportunity • Oct 13
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 38%. The fair value is estimated to be €44.95, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 37% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 52%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 21% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 24% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Aug 25
First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.43 (vs €1.13 in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: EPS: €0.43 (down from €1.13 in 1H 2022). Revenue: €223.9m (up 9.0% from 1H 2022). Net income: €9.38m (down 62% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 4.2% (down from 12% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 23
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20% After last week's 20% share price decline to €51.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Electrical industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 49% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €88.03 per share. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 22
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to €65.62, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Electrical industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 32% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €43.85 per share. Reported Earnings • Feb 17
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €2.45 (vs €0.99 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: €2.45 (up from €0.99 in FY 2021). Revenue: €439.9m (up 76% from FY 2021). Net income: €53.0m (up 147% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 12% (up from 8.6% in FY 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 10
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 15% share price decline to €87.74, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Electrical industry in Germany. Negligible returns to shareholders over past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €77.86 per share. Buying Opportunity • Nov 09
Now 27% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 20%. The fair value is estimated to be €124, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 31% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 69%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 24% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 28% per annum over the same time period. Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 06
Key Executive recently sold €2.2m worth of stock On the 1st of September, Marco Roeleveld sold around 20k shares on-market at roughly €112 per share. This transaction amounted to 17% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Marco's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Aug 26
First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €1.13 (vs €0.42 in 1H 2021) First half 2022 results: EPS: €1.13 (up from €0.42 in 1H 2021). Revenue: €205.5m (up 78% from 1H 2021). Net income: €24.6m (up 172% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 12% (up from 7.8% in 1H 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 36%, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Electrical industry in Germany. Buying Opportunity • Mar 17
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 3.4%. The fair value is estimated to be €107, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 28% per annum over the last 3 years. The company has become profitable over the last 3 years. Buying Opportunity • Mar 01
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 4.3%. The fair value is estimated to be €107, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 28% per annum over the last 3 years. The company has become profitable over the last 3 years. Reported Earnings • Feb 18
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat Full year 2021 results: EPS: €0.99 (up from €0.57 in FY 2020). Revenue: €249.7m (up 32% from FY 2020). Net income: €21.5m (up 79% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 8.6% (up from 6.3% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 34%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Announcement • Feb 18
Alfen Provides Revenue Guidance for the Full Year 2022 Alfen provides revenue guidance for the full year 2022. The company expects revenues to be in the range of EUR 330 million to EUR 370 million in 2022. Reported Earnings • Aug 30
First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.42 (vs €0.24 in 1H 2020) The company reported a strong first half result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €115.3m (up 28% from 1H 2020). Net income: €9.02m (up 84% from 1H 2020). Profit margin: 7.8% (up from 5.4% in 1H 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Recent Insider Transactions • May 22
CFO & Member of the Management Board recently sold €2.2m worth of stock On the 18th of May, Jeroen van Rossen sold around 35k shares on-market at roughly €64.00 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Jeroen has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €3.1m.