Alstom Valuation

Is AOMU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AOMU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AOMU (€2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AOMU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AOMU?

Key metric: As AOMU is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AOMU. This is calculated by dividing AOMU's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AOMU's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
Sales€17.95b
Market Cap€9.95b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AOMU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AOMU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
KBX Knorr-Bremse
1.5x4.3%€12.0b
8TRA Traton
0.3x1.8%€15.2b
KGX KION GROUP
0.4x2.7%€4.6b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
0.5x4.1%€29.0b
AOMU Alstom
0.6x4.8%€9.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AOMU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AOMU's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HDD Heidelberger Druckmaschinen
0.1x4.3%US$302.86m
SF3 STS Group
0.08x2.5%US$25.89m
SNG Singulus Technologies
0.1x17.4%US$11.28m
GRF Greiffenberger
0.06xn/aUS$4.17m
AOMU 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AOMU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AOMU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AOMU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AOMU's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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