Lakeland Bancorp Valuation

Is LKL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LKL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LKL (€12.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€29.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LKL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LKL?

Key metric: As LKL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LKL. This is calculated by dividing LKL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LKL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsUS$83.88m
Market CapUS$875.03m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LKL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LKL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.2x9.9%€450.0m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10x8.6%€107.3m
CFB CrossFirst Bankshares
12x9.6%US$885.4m
MBWM Mercantile Bank
10.2x-3.6%US$813.4m
LKL Lakeland Bancorp
10.4x4.3%€875.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LKL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LKL 10.4xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LKL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LKL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LKL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LKL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
€15.07
0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
May ’25€11.50
€15.07
+31.0%
17.4%€18.78€13.14n/a3
Apr ’25€10.80
€15.72
+45.5%
14.5%€18.62€13.03n/a3
Mar ’25€10.70
€15.72
+46.9%
14.5%€18.62€13.03n/a3
Feb ’25€12.20
€16.19
+32.7%
10.0%€18.45€14.76n/a3
Jan ’25€13.60
€14.82
+9.0%
2.0%€15.11€14.53n/a2
Dec ’24€11.30
€13.49
+19.4%
16.2%€15.67€11.30n/a2
Nov ’24€10.50
€13.49
+28.5%
16.2%€15.67€11.30n/a2
Oct ’24€11.80
€16.42
+39.2%
11.1%€18.25€14.60n/a2
Sep ’24€12.40
€16.42
+32.4%
11.1%€18.25€14.60n/a2
Aug ’24€13.70
€16.58
+21.0%
15.7%€18.42€12.90n/a3
Jul ’24€12.50
€16.52
+32.2%
16.6%€18.81€12.66n/a3
Jun ’24€12.10
€16.52
+36.5%
16.6%€18.81€12.66n/a3
May ’24€13.00
€17.67
+35.9%
8.5%€19.08€15.59€11.503
Apr ’24€14.10
€20.01
+41.9%
4.9%€21.27€18.90€10.803
Mar ’24n/a
€20.01
0%
4.9%€21.27€18.90€10.703
Feb ’24n/a
€18.09
0%
9.4%€20.74€16.59€12.204
Jan ’24n/a
€19.57
0%
9.7%€22.58€18.06€13.605
Dec ’23n/a
€19.57
0%
9.7%€22.58€18.06€11.305
Nov ’23n/a
€19.57
0%
9.7%€22.58€18.06€10.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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