Camden National Corporation

DB:3LR Stock Report

Market Cap: €672.6m

Camden National Valuation

Is 3LR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3LR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3LR (€45.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€91.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3LR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3LR?

Key metric: As 3LR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3LR. This is calculated by dividing 3LR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3LR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
EarningsUS$46.80m
Market CapUS$704.66m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3LR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3LR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.3x10.7%€451.2m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€108.9m
FMBL Farmers & Merchants Bank of Long Beach
13.2xn/aUS$710.7m
EQBK Equity Bancshares
42.7x32.0%US$752.4m
3LR Camden National
14.9x24.1%€704.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3LR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3LR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3LR 14.9xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3LR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3LR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3LR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3LR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3LR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€45.40
€43.10
-5.1%
8.3%€48.13€40.58n/a3
Nov ’25€38.40
€40.52
+5.5%
3.2%€42.36€39.59n/a3
Oct ’25€35.00
€37.02
+5.8%
1.1%€37.62€36.72n/a3
Sep ’25€36.00
€37.99
+5.5%
2.0%€38.92€37.07n/a3
Aug ’25€35.80
€37.99
+6.1%
2.0%€38.92€37.07n/a3
Jul ’25€30.60
€32.80
+7.2%
3.5%€34.34€31.56n/a3
Jun ’25€29.60
€32.80
+10.8%
3.5%€34.34€31.56n/a3
May ’25€29.00
€33.10
+14.1%
3.5%€34.66€31.85n/a3
Apr ’25€30.80
€35.17
+14.2%
2.1%€36.09€34.24n/a3
Mar ’25€28.80
€35.17
+22.1%
2.1%€36.09€34.24n/a3
Feb ’25€32.20
€35.17
+9.2%
2.1%€36.09€34.24n/a3
Jan ’25€34.60
€30.60
-11.6%
11.2%€35.45€28.18n/a3
Dec ’24€33.00
€30.16
-8.6%
5.8%€32.64€28.91n/a3
Nov ’24€27.00
€30.28
+12.2%
4.4%€32.17€29.34€38.403
Oct ’24€26.60
€30.05
+13.0%
5.1%€31.55€27.94€35.003
Sep ’24€30.80
€30.05
-2.4%
5.1%€31.55€27.94€36.003
Aug ’24€31.60
€30.05
-4.9%
5.1%€31.55€27.94€35.803
Jul ’24€28.40
€31.42
+10.6%
1.4%€31.72€30.81€30.603
Jun ’24€27.60
€31.42
+13.8%
1.4%€31.72€30.81€29.603
May ’24€28.60
€31.42
+9.9%
1.4%€31.72€30.81€29.003
Apr ’24€33.20
€40.11
+20.8%
3.8%€41.97€38.24€30.803
Mar ’24€39.00
€40.11
+2.8%
3.8%€41.97€38.24€28.803
Feb ’24€36.20
€40.48
+11.8%
4.9%€42.32€37.72€32.203
Jan ’24€38.80
€44.97
+15.9%
1.0%€45.63€44.64€34.603
Dec ’23€40.40
€44.97
+11.3%
1.0%€45.63€44.64€33.003
Nov ’23€43.20
€44.97
+4.1%
1.0%€45.63€44.64€27.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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