Nokian Renkaat Oyj Valuation

Is NRE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NRE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NRE (€7.43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NRE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NRE?

Key metric: As NRE is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NRE. This is calculated by dividing NRE's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NRE's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
Sales€1.24b
Market Cap€1.01b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NRE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NRE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
SFQ SAF-Holland
0.3x4.5%€666.4m
NVM Novem Group
0.4x4.1%€240.1m
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
0.1x1.9%€267.1m
SHA0 Schaeffler
0.2x16.7%€4.0b
NRE Nokian Renkaat Oyj
0.8x12.2%€1.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NRE's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NRE 0.8xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NRE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NRE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NRE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NRE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.43
€7.79
+4.9%
14.7%€10.00€6.00n/a10
Dec ’25€7.40
€7.79
+5.3%
14.7%€10.00€6.00n/a10
Nov ’25€7.59
€7.90
+4.1%
13.1%€10.00€6.60n/a10
Oct ’25€8.82
€7.90
-10.4%
13.2%€10.00€6.60n/a10
Sep ’25€8.46
€7.85
-7.2%
12.7%€10.00€6.60n/a10
Aug ’25€8.39
€7.94
-5.4%
11.6%€10.00€6.90n/a10
Jul ’25€7.79
€8.07
+3.6%
12.7%€10.00€6.60n/a11
Jun ’25€8.38
€8.16
-2.6%
13.5%€10.00€6.60n/a11
May ’25€8.38
€8.16
-2.5%
13.5%€10.00€6.60n/a11
Apr ’25€8.77
€8.13
-7.3%
12.9%€10.00€6.60n/a11
Mar ’25€8.40
€8.03
-4.4%
14.5%€10.00€6.20n/a11
Feb ’25€8.30
€7.95
-4.3%
14.1%€10.00€6.20n/a11
Jan ’25€8.18
€7.98
-2.4%
14.9%€10.00€6.20n/a12
Dec ’24€7.60
€7.98
+5.1%
14.9%€10.00€6.20€7.4012
Nov ’24€7.15
€8.50
+18.8%
15.4%€11.00€6.80€7.5912
Oct ’24€7.21
€9.06
+25.8%
13.7%€11.00€7.20€8.8211
Sep ’24€7.97
€9.06
+13.8%
13.7%€11.00€7.20€8.4611
Aug ’24€8.41
€9.08
+7.9%
13.4%€11.00€7.40€8.3911
Jul ’24€7.93
€9.43
+18.8%
12.4%€11.00€7.40€7.7911
Jun ’24€8.16
€9.43
+15.5%
12.4%€11.00€7.40€8.3811
May ’24€8.85
€9.25
+4.4%
13.2%€11.00€7.40€8.3811
Apr ’24€8.76
€9.09
+3.8%
11.8%€11.00€7.20€8.7712
Mar ’24€8.40
€9.58
+14.1%
13.0%€11.50€8.00€8.4011
Feb ’24€11.08
€10.08
-9.0%
14.1%€12.00€8.00€8.3011
Jan ’24€9.69
€9.99
+3.1%
13.9%€12.00€8.00€8.1811
Dec ’23€10.36
€10.04
-3.1%
13.5%€12.00€8.00€7.6011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 12:35
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nokian Renkaat Oyj is covered by 39 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Mikhail PakAton LLC
Kristina ChurchBarclays