Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.

DB:NISA Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.2b

Nissan Motor Valuation

Is NISA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NISA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NISA (€2.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NISA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NISA?

Key metric: As NISA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NISA. This is calculated by dividing NISA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NISA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.9x
EarningsJP¥149.66b
Market CapJP¥1.49t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NISA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NISA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.3x
PAH3 Porsche Automobil Holding
2.8x18.5%€10.6b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.3x5.6%€43.2b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.4x9.6%€42.1b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
13.6x11.3%€54.0b
NISA Nissan Motor
9.9x25.4%€1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NISA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NISA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NISA 9.9xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NISA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NISA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NISA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.9x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NISA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NISA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.53
€2.76
+9.0%
30.4%€4.40€1.53n/a15
Nov ’25€2.47
€2.96
+19.6%
36.7%€6.14€1.82n/a15
Oct ’25€2.52
€3.12
+23.6%
34.9%€6.25€2.04n/a15
Sep ’25€2.63
€3.30
+25.4%
32.1%€6.25€2.04n/a16
Aug ’25€2.98
€3.52
+18.1%
23.8%€6.05€2.46n/a16
Jul ’25€3.13
€3.72
+19.2%
22.8%€6.39€2.81n/a16
Jun ’25€3.21
€3.80
+18.5%
22.9%€6.42€2.83n/a16
May ’25€3.44
€4.08
+18.7%
32.3%€8.74€2.91n/a16
Apr ’25€3.59
€4.17
+16.3%
31.7%€8.74€2.91n/a16
Mar ’25€3.62
€4.35
+20.2%
29.7%€8.82€3.31n/a15
Feb ’25€3.66
€4.48
+22.6%
31.0%€9.31€3.00n/a16
Jan ’25€3.51
€4.76
+35.6%
30.1%€9.61€3.35n/a16
Dec ’24€3.59
€4.59
+27.8%
29.8%€9.23€3.22n/a16
Nov ’24€3.66
€4.62
+26.2%
30.5%€9.41€3.28€2.4716
Oct ’24€4.14
€4.62
+11.7%
30.6%€9.45€3.30€2.5216
Sep ’24€3.88
€4.56
+17.5%
31.8%€9.46€3.24€2.6316
Aug ’24€4.14
€4.65
+12.1%
32.7%€9.77€3.34€2.9816
Jul ’24€3.71
€4.18
+12.8%
35.6%€9.44€2.72€3.1316
Jun ’24€3.45
€4.35
+26.1%
37.3%€10.01€2.75€3.2116
May ’24€3.27
€4.32
+32.1%
37.0%€9.86€2.72€3.4416
Apr ’24€3.43
€4.44
+29.5%
37.7%€10.21€2.82€3.5916
Mar ’24€3.67
€4.37
+19.1%
37.5%€10.03€2.77€3.6216
Feb ’24€3.37
€4.43
+31.2%
43.5%€10.98€2.98€3.6615
Jan ’24€2.94
€4.71
+60.4%
39.0%€11.03€2.99€3.5116
Dec ’23€3.40
€4.67
+37.3%
36.3%€10.80€2.93€3.5917
Nov ’23€3.21
€4.54
+41.6%
33.3%€10.13€2.86€3.6618

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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