Luminar Technologies, Inc.

DB:9FS1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €286.2m

Luminar Technologies Valuation

Is 9FS1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9FS1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 9FS1's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 9FS1's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9FS1?

Key metric: As 9FS1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9FS1. This is calculated by dividing 9FS1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9FS1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesUS$75.03m
Market CapUS$298.00m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9FS1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9FS1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
ZIL2 ElringKlinger
0.1x2.1%€253.4m
NVM Novem Group
0.4x4.1%€253.0m
ED4 EDAG Engineering Group
0.2x2.7%€192.0m
SFQ SAF-Holland
0.3x4.9%€619.2m
9FS1 Luminar Technologies
4x48.7%€298.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9FS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9FS1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9FS1 4.0xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies14PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9FS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9FS1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9FS1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio0.04x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9FS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9FS1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.69
€28.81
+169.5%
91.6%€86.43€7.20n/a7
Nov ’25€10.40
€29.28
+181.6%
84.1%€83.38€6.95n/a7
Oct ’25€10.80
€33.14
+206.7%
77.5%€80.53€6.71n/a8
Sep ’25€13.26
€41.73
+214.8%
62.1%€81.43€6.79n/a10
Aug ’25€21.24
€63.84
+200.6%
64.8%€124.66€13.85n/a11
Jul ’25€20.09
€64.72
+222.1%
63.0%€125.14€16.69n/a11
Jun ’25€22.03
€64.72
+193.7%
63.0%€125.14€16.69n/a11
May ’25€20.18
€73.94
+266.4%
57.4%€153.58€16.75n/a12
Apr ’25€26.40
€76.63
+190.3%
51.8%€153.61€20.95n/a12
Mar ’25€31.65
€93.50
+195.4%
77.2%€277.56€20.82n/a12
Feb ’25€39.45
€117.85
+198.7%
71.1%€275.67€27.57n/a12
Jan ’25€46.95
€127.96
+172.6%
62.4%€275.19€41.28n/a12
Dec ’24€33.30
€126.82
+280.9%
60.1%€273.42€41.01n/a13
Nov ’24€44.55
€157.86
+254.3%
45.9%€284.04€49.71€10.4013
Oct ’24€63.75
€161.04
+152.6%
43.4%€283.86€63.87€10.8013
Sep ’24€81.00
€165.35
+104.1%
40.1%€278.49€62.66€13.2612
Aug ’24€107.40
€166.84
+55.3%
39.9%€267.84€60.26€21.2412
Jul ’24€94.80
€170.09
+79.4%
41.9%€276.75€62.27€20.0912
Jun ’24€96.60
€170.09
+76.1%
41.9%€276.75€62.27€22.0312
May ’24€81.00
€181.45
+124.0%
41.4%€327.64€61.43€20.1812
Apr ’24€88.50
€186.24
+110.4%
40.8%€335.23€69.84€26.4012
Mar ’24€126.30
€181.72
+43.9%
40.8%€337.64€70.34€31.6512
Feb ’24€96.90
€176.91
+82.6%
40.2%€330.84€68.92€39.4512
Jan ’24€68.70
€184.83
+169.0%
38.0%€339.05€98.89€46.9512
Dec ’23€112.50
€215.31
+91.4%
47.9%€461.38€123.04€33.3013
Nov ’23€123.60
€218.44
+76.7%
46.7%€455.58€106.30€44.5513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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