XPeng Inc.

DB:8XPA Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.8b

XPeng Valuation

Is 8XPA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8XPA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€12.76
Fair Value
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 8XPA (€11.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8XPA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8XPA?

Key metric: As 8XPA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 8XPA. This is calculated by dividing 8XPA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 8XPA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
SalesCN¥37.81b
Market CapCN¥89.40b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 8XPA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 8XPA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
VOW3 Volkswagen
0.1x2.2%€45.3b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
0.3x2.1%€47.9b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
1.4x4.5%€54.6b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
0.3x0.6%€50.7b
8XPA XPeng
2.4x27.8%€12.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 8XPA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 8XPA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8XPA 2.4xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 8XPA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8XPA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8XPA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 8XPA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8XPA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.85
€13.90
+17.3%
21.3%€17.38€6.70n/a24
Jan ’26€11.65
€13.91
+19.4%
21.3%€17.40€6.71n/a24
Dec ’25€11.25
€14.00
+24.4%
21.6%€17.31€6.72n/a25
Nov ’25€10.45
€10.54
+0.9%
22.3%€14.44€6.45n/a25
Oct ’25€11.45
€9.66
-15.6%
19.7%€13.95€6.39n/a25
Sep ’25€7.32
€9.12
+24.6%
21.6%€13.87€5.90n/a25
Aug ’25€7.12
€11.22
+57.6%
26.2%€17.18€7.41n/a25
Jul ’25€6.84
€11.73
+71.4%
26.8%€18.68€7.44n/a26
Jun ’25€7.76
€11.62
+49.8%
27.1%€18.56€7.11n/a26
May ’25€7.68
€12.21
+58.9%
29.3%€18.75€6.54n/a26
Apr ’25€7.44
€13.09
+75.9%
32.8%€26.15€6.74n/a26
Mar ’25€8.66
€15.47
+78.6%
31.1%€26.25€6.75n/a25
Feb ’25€8.04
€16.26
+102.2%
26.8%€26.13€6.72n/a25
Jan ’25€13.25
€17.39
+31.2%
25.9%€26.08€7.41€11.6525
Dec ’24€14.65
€17.84
+21.8%
27.0%€26.27€7.47€11.2525
Nov ’24€13.75
€17.40
+26.5%
30.1%€26.37€7.53€10.4526
Oct ’24€17.40
€17.61
+1.2%
28.1%€26.24€7.49€11.4526
Sep ’24€18.00
€17.76
-1.3%
28.6%€26.08€7.45€7.3227
Aug ’24€18.95
€15.44
-18.5%
44.7%€30.03€5.38€7.1228
Jul ’24€12.50
€9.41
-24.7%
27.7%€14.66€4.47€6.8426
Jun ’24€7.14
€9.15
+28.2%
24.8%€13.47€4.63€7.7625
May ’24€8.88
€11.21
+26.3%
46.0%€34.80€6.09€7.6826
Apr ’24€10.00
€11.08
+10.8%
48.9%€35.35€3.87€7.4426
Mar ’24€8.70
€12.87
+48.0%
48.0%€35.96€4.13€8.6625
Feb ’24€10.30
€12.99
+26.1%
46.8%€35.63€4.09€8.0425
Jan ’24€9.05
€13.36
+47.6%
45.7%€35.62€4.09€13.2525
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
€13.21
Fair Value
10.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 07:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

XPeng Inc. is covered by 53 analysts. 37 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Jia LouBOCI Research Ltd.
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research