Ferrari N.V.

DB:2FE Stock Report

Market Cap: €73.4b

Ferrari Valuation

Is 2FE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2FE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2FE (€408.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€91.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2FE is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2FE?

Key metric: As 2FE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2FE. This is calculated by dividing 2FE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2FE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.7x
Earnings€1.43b
Market Cap€73.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2FE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2FE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
14.3x11.3%€56.8b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.3x5.6%€42.9b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x1.7%€51.2b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.4x9.6%€42.8b
2FE Ferrari
51.7x9.4%€77.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2FE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2FE 51.7xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2FE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2FE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.7x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2FE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€408.30
€469.02
+14.9%
10.0%€531.61€353.96n/a14
Nov ’25€440.00
€463.09
+5.2%
10.9%€541.38€353.96n/a14
Oct ’25€411.00
€435.70
+6.0%
14.5%€541.38€281.01n/a14
Sep ’25€445.60
€419.13
-5.9%
12.1%€476.42€281.01n/a14
Aug ’25€388.40
€408.91
+5.3%
12.0%€476.42€281.01n/a14
Jul ’25€382.20
€406.68
+6.4%
12.0%€476.42€281.01n/a14
Jun ’25€379.30
€401.93
+6.0%
12.5%€476.42€281.01n/a14
May ’25€387.70
€397.22
+2.5%
12.8%€481.74€280.09n/a14
Apr ’25€404.10
€376.17
-6.9%
11.4%€431.68€264.56n/a14
Mar ’25€393.40
€363.92
-7.5%
12.7%€426.17€264.56n/a14
Feb ’25€357.30
€345.13
-3.4%
11.0%€418.75€264.56n/a14
Jan ’25€308.00
€339.77
+10.3%
11.7%€415.01€256.08n/a14
Dec ’24€329.00
€332.64
+1.1%
12.8%€415.01€256.08n/a12
Nov ’24€284.80
€312.18
+9.6%
8.4%€347.05€257.86€440.0011
Oct ’24€282.30
€308.88
+9.4%
9.4%€347.05€257.86€411.0011
Sep ’24€285.80
€306.41
+7.2%
9.6%€347.05€257.86€445.6011
Aug ’24€290.00
€297.61
+2.6%
11.9%€349.83€252.70€388.4010
Jul ’24€297.50
€276.68
-7.0%
16.1%€344.89€190.60€382.2010
Jun ’24€270.70
€276.51
+2.1%
16.2%€344.89€190.60€379.3010
May ’24€251.10
€264.60
+5.4%
15.0%€325.93€185.46€387.7010
Apr ’24€246.10
€256.31
+4.1%
18.0%€325.93€178.75€404.1010
Mar ’24€247.70
€255.62
+3.2%
18.9%€327.13€174.37€393.4011
Feb ’24€230.50
€235.59
+2.2%
15.3%€286.89€174.37€357.3011
Jan ’24€201.10
€234.61
+16.7%
17.9%€292.01€172.60€308.0011
Dec ’23€217.40
€232.95
+7.2%
18.8%€292.01€172.60€329.0010
Nov ’23€200.40
€236.70
+18.1%
20.0%€307.14€166.72€284.8010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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