Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.

DB:02G Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.7b

Guangzhou Automobile Group Valuation

Is 02G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 02G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€0.076
Fair Value
321.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 02G (€0.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 02G is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 02G?

Key metric: As 02G is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 02G. This is calculated by dividing 02G's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 02G's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesCN¥106.10b
Market CapCN¥64.56b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 02G's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 02G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
1x2.9%€42.8b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
0.3x2.7%€47.3b
VOW3 Volkswagen
0.2x2.5%€50.0b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
0.4x0.6%€52.9b
02G Guangzhou Automobile Group
0.2x8.4%€68.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 02G is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 02G's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
02G 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 02G is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 02G's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

02G PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 02G is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 02G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.32
€0.32
-0.4%
33.3%€0.56€0.11n/a16
Apr ’26€0.38
€0.34
-10.9%
33.9%€0.60€0.12n/a16
Mar ’26€0.37
€0.35
-5.3%
33.8%€0.62€0.14n/a16
Feb ’26€0.38
€0.34
-10.4%
34.1%€0.61€0.14n/a16
Jan ’26€0.44
€0.34
-22.9%
35.8%€0.62€0.12n/a16
Dec ’25€0.35
€0.38
+8.0%
60.3%€1.19€0.12n/a17
Nov ’25€0.32
€0.42
+29.4%
64.7%€1.18€0.12n/a17
Oct ’25€0.36
€0.42
+16.7%
60.1%€1.15€0.21n/a17
Sep ’25€0.29
€0.49
+68.8%
49.1%€1.16€0.24n/a17
Aug ’25€0.33
€0.54
+62.8%
43.0%€1.16€0.24n/a17
Jul ’25€0.34
€0.55
+63.9%
39.2%€1.17€0.36n/a18
Jun ’25€0.38
€0.55
+44.2%
39.0%€1.16€0.35n/a17
May ’25€0.38
€0.57
+48.0%
38.1%€1.18€0.36n/a17
Apr ’25€0.37
€0.62
+67.8%
34.7%€1.17€0.36€0.3819
Mar ’25€0.40
€0.64
+61.0%
32.7%€1.16€0.37€0.3718
Feb ’25€0.36
€0.62
+72.2%
28.3%€1.09€0.38€0.3817
Jan ’25€0.41
€0.65
+57.9%
25.0%€1.09€0.38€0.4417
Dec ’24€0.41
€0.64
+55.4%
24.9%€1.08€0.38€0.3517
Nov ’24€0.43
€0.68
+55.9%
26.5%€1.09€0.39€0.3217
Oct ’24€0.46
€0.79
+72.7%
29.0%€1.42€0.39€0.3619
Sep ’24€0.48
€0.78
+63.5%
25.8%€1.34€0.38€0.2920
Aug ’24€0.57
€0.81
+43.1%
24.1%€1.32€0.44€0.3320
Jul ’24€0.54
€0.88
+63.6%
23.1%€1.37€0.46€0.3420
Jun ’24€0.53
€0.88
+65.3%
23.2%€1.39€0.46€0.3820
May ’24€0.56
€0.90
+61.2%
25.3%€1.49€0.46€0.3819
Apr ’24€0.57
€0.94
+64.4%
24.7%€1.53€0.47€0.3718
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
€0.33
Fair Value
2.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/28 17:34
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/28 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. is covered by 52 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yang SongBarclays
Tingting LiBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Michael MengBOCI Research Ltd.