Tesla Valuation

Is TL0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TL0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TL0 (€148.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€102.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TL0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TL0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TL0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA37.1x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TL0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TL0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
15.6x6.2%€80.5b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.9x-3.3%€64.6b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
5.3x-4.3%€76.1b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.6x1.1%€62.4b
TL0 Tesla
34.7x10.2%€520.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TL0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TL0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TL0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.7x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TL0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€148.58
€188.14
+26.6%
28.2%€293.92€78.07n/a40
Mar ’25€185.26
€195.79
+5.7%
26.5%€318.37€78.44n/a39
Feb ’25€171.06
€199.88
+16.9%
26.9%€317.40€78.20n/a38
Jan ’25€230.35
€215.50
-6.4%
28.5%€345.38€77.26n/a36
Dec ’24€217.75
€216.00
-0.8%
28.2%€347.24€77.67n/a36
Nov ’24€190.98
€225.90
+18.3%
27.9%€359.94€80.51n/a36
Oct ’24€237.35
€239.67
+1.0%
30.2%€378.48€80.43n/a36
Sep ’24€229.85
€226.26
-1.6%
29.1%€318.05€77.24n/a36
Aug ’24€240.35
€222.34
-7.5%
29.8%€317.49€77.10n/a35
Jul ’24€241.25
€190.78
-20.9%
30.3%€307.20€77.95n/a35
Jun ’24€190.08
€174.00
-8.5%
25.8%€277.68€78.68n/a35
May ’24€147.14
€170.73
+16.0%
26.1%€273.45€77.48n/a34
Apr ’24€186.52
€187.23
+0.4%
27.1%€295.01€78.36n/a32
Mar ’24€187.26
€189.69
+1.3%
27.9%€303.33€80.57€185.2634
Feb ’24€157.94
€175.55
+11.1%
29.9%€295.01€78.36€171.0633
Jan ’24€112.32
€234.12
+108.4%
34.4%€496.44€80.12€230.3530
Dec ’23€185.90
€265.94
+43.1%
31.7%€503.50€80.75€217.7532
Nov ’23€232.45
€279.32
+20.2%
31.8%€525.71€84.31€190.9832
Oct ’23€279.35
€316.71
+13.4%
31.2%€544.42€85.60€237.3534
Sep ’23€269.95
€307.83
+14.0%
31.6%€532.86€83.78€229.8533
Aug ’23€292.73
€297.85
+1.7%
32.1%€516.98€81.80€240.3533
Jul ’23€217.10
€291.14
+34.1%
35.3%€513.11€79.18€241.2534
Jun ’23€232.33
€292.52
+25.9%
36.9%€503.12€77.64€190.0835
May ’23€288.17
€309.41
+7.4%
36.9%€500.26€77.20€147.1434
Apr ’23€327.17
€287.29
-12.2%
38.0%€476.05€75.32€186.5232
Mar ’23€258.33
€286.50
+10.9%
38.4%€469.63€74.31€187.2632

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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