Ford Motor Company

XTRA:FMC1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €37.6b

Ford Motor Valuation

Is FMC1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FMC1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FMC1 (€9.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FMC1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FMC1?

Key metric: As FMC1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FMC1. This is calculated by dividing FMC1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FMC1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsUS$3.53b
Market CapUS$39.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FMC1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FMC1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.6x9.2%€45.1b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6x3.3%€48.3b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
13.4x11.3%€53.4b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x1.0%€50.8b
FMC1 Ford Motor
11.1x18.7%€39.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FMC1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FMC1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FMC1 11.1xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FMC1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FMC1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FMC1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FMC1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FMC1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.55
€11.49
+20.4%
23.4%€18.33€7.72n/a24
Dec ’25€10.62
€11.47
+8.0%
21.7%€17.89€8.48n/a23
Nov ’25€9.52
€11.41
+19.8%
21.6%€17.50€8.29n/a23
Oct ’25€9.71
€11.76
+21.2%
21.3%€18.07€8.13n/a23
Sep ’25€10.06
€11.98
+19.1%
20.9%€17.88€8.94n/a24
Aug ’25€9.98
€12.59
+26.1%
19.4%€18.47€9.24n/a24
Jul ’25€11.79
€13.21
+12.1%
18.8%€19.56€9.31n/a24
Jun ’25€11.02
€13.04
+18.3%
19.2%€19.41€9.24n/a24
May ’25€11.52
€13.05
+13.3%
18.5%€19.64€9.35n/a24
Apr ’25€12.26
€12.58
+2.6%
19.2%€19.29€9.19n/a24
Mar ’25€11.51
€12.66
+9.9%
20.0%€19.48€9.28n/a23
Feb ’25€10.72
€12.64
+17.9%
26.8%€20.30€8.76n/a24
Jan ’25€11.18
€12.37
+10.7%
26.3%€20.04€8.65n/a22
Dec ’24€9.63
€12.91
+34.1%
25.5%€20.23€8.74€10.6221
Nov ’24€9.34
€13.48
+44.3%
24.9%€20.79€8.98€9.5221
Oct ’24€11.94
€14.37
+20.3%
22.0%€21.43€10.25€9.7121
Sep ’24€11.23
€14.00
+24.7%
23.1%€21.15€10.11€10.0621
Aug ’24€12.12
€13.47
+11.1%
22.3%€20.92€10.00€9.9820
Jul ’24€13.88
€13.19
-5.0%
23.1%€20.58€9.35€11.7920
Jun ’24€11.25
€13.00
+15.6%
23.3%€20.51€9.32€11.0220
May ’24€10.77
€12.52
+16.2%
21.8%€19.17€9.13€11.5221
Apr ’24€11.49
€13.04
+13.5%
24.5%€20.28€9.22€12.2621
Mar ’24€11.60
€13.47
+16.1%
23.8%€20.74€9.43€11.5121
Feb ’24€12.49
€13.65
+9.4%
27.0%€21.85€9.10€10.7220
Jan ’24€10.68
€14.97
+40.2%
29.6%€26.87€9.60€11.1820
Dec ’23€13.46
€14.97
+11.2%
29.6%€26.87€9.60€9.6320

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 22:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ford Motor Company is covered by 56 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Dan LevyBarclays