CEZ a. s Valuation

Is CEZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CEZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CEZ (CZK959.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CZK1712.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CEZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CEZ?

Key metric: As CEZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CEZ. This is calculated by dividing CEZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CEZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.2x
EarningsKč23.20b
Market CapKč510.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CEZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CEZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
PPL PPL
28.7x14.9%US$23.3b
VER VERBUND
14.4x-11.2%€23.8b
FTS Fortis
18.5x6.5%CA$29.5b
SSE SSE
9.3x5.2%UK£17.5b
CEZ CEZ a. s
22.2x10.8%Kč510.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CEZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CEZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CEZ 22.2xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CEZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CEZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CEZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CEZ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CEZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentKč959.50
Kč869.32
-9.4%
14.1%Kč1,127.20Kč705.00n/a11
Dec ’25Kč961.50
Kč848.33
-11.8%
13.6%Kč1,025.91Kč650.00n/a11
Nov ’25Kč900.00
Kč854.22
-5.1%
14.4%Kč1,034.00Kč650.00n/a12
Oct ’25Kč878.00
Kč851.88
-3.0%
14.4%Kč1,034.00Kč650.00n/a12
Sep ’25Kč864.50
Kč849.43
-1.7%
14.3%Kč1,034.00Kč650.00n/a12
Aug ’25Kč910.50
Kč847.76
-6.9%
14.7%Kč1,034.00Kč630.00n/a12
Jul ’25Kč874.00
Kč847.76
-3.0%
14.7%Kč1,034.00Kč630.00n/a12
Jun ’25Kč948.50
Kč847.54
-10.6%
14.6%Kč1,034.00Kč630.00n/a12
May ’25Kč870.00
Kč846.74
-2.7%
16.4%Kč1,034.00Kč600.00n/a12
Apr ’25Kč837.00
Kč852.27
+1.8%
20.0%Kč1,245.00Kč615.00n/a11
Mar ’25Kč804.00
Kč869.39
+8.1%
20.2%Kč1,245.00Kč615.00n/a10
Feb ’25Kč877.00
Kč909.29
+3.7%
18.0%Kč1,245.00Kč641.00n/a10
Jan ’25Kč958.50
Kč924.99
-3.5%
15.7%Kč1,245.00Kč738.00n/a10
Dec ’24Kč979.00
Kč938.88
-4.1%
15.6%Kč1,245.00Kč738.00Kč961.509
Nov ’24Kč1,010.00
Kč928.44
-8.1%
16.0%Kč1,245.00Kč740.00Kč900.009
Oct ’24Kč980.00
Kč925.07
-5.6%
16.2%Kč1,245.00Kč740.00Kč878.009
Sep ’24Kč949.50
Kč949.87
+0.04%
20.7%Kč1,393.00Kč740.00Kč864.5011
Aug ’24Kč965.00
Kč953.51
-1.2%
20.6%Kč1,393.00Kč740.00Kč910.5011
Jul ’24Kč900.00
Kč964.70
+7.2%
20.1%Kč1,393.00Kč740.00Kč874.0011
Jun ’24Kč1,000.00
Kč965.61
-3.4%
20.1%Kč1,393.00Kč740.00Kč948.5011
May ’24Kč1,147.00
Kč967.55
-15.6%
19.2%Kč1,393.00Kč790.00Kč870.0011
Apr ’24Kč1,051.00
Kč953.91
-9.2%
21.0%Kč1,393.00Kč690.00Kč837.0011
Mar ’24Kč1,051.00
Kč983.00
-6.5%
26.7%Kč1,623.00Kč690.00Kč804.0011
Feb ’24Kč906.50
Kč977.73
+7.9%
27.0%Kč1,623.00Kč690.00Kč877.0011
Jan ’24Kč770.00
Kč1,007.09
+30.8%
24.6%Kč1,623.00Kč800.00Kč958.5011
Dec ’23Kč794.00
Kč1,042.36
+31.3%
25.6%Kč1,623.00Kč800.00Kč979.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 18:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CEZ, a. s. is covered by 40 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Olivier Van DoosselaereBNP Paribas Exane
Benjamin LeyreBNP Paribas Exane