Stock Analysis

Philip Morris CR (SEP:TABAK) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

SEP:TABAK
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So while Philip Morris CR (SEP:TABAK) has a high ROCE right now, lets see what we can decipher from how returns are changing.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Philip Morris CR:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.48 = Kč4.3b ÷ (Kč18b - Kč8.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

Therefore, Philip Morris CR has an ROCE of 48%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Tobacco industry average of 15%.

Check out our latest analysis for Philip Morris CR

roce
SEP:TABAK Return on Capital Employed August 19th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Philip Morris CR's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Philip Morris CR here for free.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Over the past five years, Philip Morris CR's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. Although current returns are high, we'd need more evidence of underlying growth for it to look like a multi-bagger going forward. That being the case, it makes sense that Philip Morris CR has been paying out 100% of its earnings to its shareholders. If the company is in fact lacking growth opportunities, that's one of the viable alternatives for the money.

On a side note, Philip Morris CR's current liabilities are still rather high at 49% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

Our Take On Philip Morris CR's ROCE

In summary, Philip Morris CR isn't compounding its earnings but is generating decent returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 69% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Philip Morris CR, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.