Interconexión Eléctrica S.A. E.S.P.

BVC:ISA Stock Report

Mkt Cap: Col$21.0t

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Interconexión Eléctrica E.S.P Valuation

Is ISA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ISA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ISA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.6x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ISA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ISA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
CSACOL Celsia Colombia E.S.P
11.9xn/aCol$7.0t
CELSIA CELSIA E.S.P
6.5x8.6%Col$2.7t
GEB Grupo Energía Bogotá E.S.P
5x13.7%Col$13.8t
ELECTULUA Compania de Electricidad de Tulua E.S.P
6.5xn/aCol$166.0b
ISA Interconexión Eléctrica E.S.P
9.5x3.0%Col$21.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ISA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ISA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ISA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the South American Electric Utilities industry average (8.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ISA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ISA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ISA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ISA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ISA (COP19000) is trading above our estimate of fair value (COP13757.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ISA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ISA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCol$19,000.00
Col$24,433.33
+28.6%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,600.00n/a3
Jan ’24Col$21,000.00
Col$24,433.33
+16.3%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,600.00n/a3
Dec ’23Col$19,000.00
Col$24,433.33
+28.6%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,600.00n/a3
Nov ’23Col$18,990.00
Col$24,433.33
+28.7%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,600.00n/a3
Oct ’23Col$16,500.00
Col$25,633.33
+55.4%
7.7%Col$28,300.00Col$23,600.00n/a3
Sep ’23Col$18,540.00
Col$26,600.00
+43.5%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Aug ’23Col$20,500.00
Col$26,600.00
+29.8%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Jul ’23Col$20,770.00
Col$26,600.00
+28.1%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Jun ’23Col$23,800.00
Col$26,600.00
+11.8%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
May ’23Col$21,760.00
Col$26,600.00
+22.2%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Apr ’23Col$24,900.00
Col$26,600.00
+6.8%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Mar ’23Col$23,980.00
Col$26,600.00
+10.9%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00n/a3
Feb ’23Col$22,920.00
Col$26,600.00
+16.1%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00Col$18,900.003
Jan ’23Col$22,400.00
Col$26,600.00
+18.8%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00Col$21,000.003
Dec ’22Col$22,180.00
Col$26,600.00
+19.9%
5.1%Col$28,300.00Col$25,000.00Col$19,000.003
Nov ’22Col$22,610.00
Col$24,566.67
+8.7%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$18,990.003
Oct ’22Col$22,790.00
Col$24,566.67
+7.8%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$16,500.003
Sep ’22Col$22,530.00
Col$24,566.67
+9.0%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$18,540.003
Aug ’22Col$21,820.00
Col$24,566.67
+12.6%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$20,500.003
Jul ’22Col$22,620.00
Col$24,566.67
+8.6%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$20,770.003
Jun ’22Col$20,510.00
Col$24,566.67
+19.8%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$23,800.003
May ’22Col$21,380.00
Col$24,566.67
+14.9%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$21,760.003
Apr ’22Col$22,500.00
Col$24,566.67
+9.2%
2.5%Col$25,000.00Col$23,700.00Col$24,900.003
Mar ’22Col$23,630.00
Col$23,233.33
-1.7%
7.2%Col$25,000.00Col$21,000.00Col$23,980.003
Feb ’22Col$23,440.00
Col$23,233.33
-0.9%
7.2%Col$25,000.00Col$21,000.00Col$22,920.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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