Henan Lantian GasLtd Valuation

Is 605368 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 605368 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 605368 (CN¥11.37) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 605368 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 605368?

Key metric: As 605368 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 605368. This is calculated by dividing 605368's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 605368's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	14.5x
Earnings	CN¥557.90m
Market Cap	CN¥8.07b

605368 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.9x
PEG Ratio	2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 605368's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 605368 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	40.4x
603053 Chengdu Gas Group	17.2x	n/a	CN¥8.7b
600917 Chongqing Gas Group	23.1x	n/a	CN¥9.9b
002267 Shaanxi Provincial Natural GasLtd	11.8x	n/a	CN¥8.9b
600635 Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd	109.6x	n/a	CN¥10.8b
605368 Henan Lantian GasLtd	14.5x	6.2%	CN¥8.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 605368 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (40.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 605368's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Gas Utilities Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 605368 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the Asian Gas Utilities industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 605368's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

605368 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.5x
Fair PE Ratio	14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 605368 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 605368 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥11.37	CN¥13.10 +15.2%	0.8%	CN¥13.20	CN¥13.00	n/a	2
Nov ’25	CN¥11.31	CN¥14.10 +24.7%	6.4%	CN¥15.00	CN¥13.20	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CN¥13.65	CN¥15.10 +10.6%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥13.44	CN¥15.10 +12.4%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CN¥13.09	CN¥15.10 +15.4%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CN¥13.86	CN¥15.10 +8.9%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CN¥13.34	CN¥15.10 +13.2%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
May ’25	CN¥12.60	CN¥15.10 +19.8%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2
Apr ’25	CN¥13.68	CN¥15.10 +10.4%	0.7%	CN¥15.20	CN¥15.00	n/a	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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