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- SZSE:000543
An Hui Wenergy (SZSE:000543) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that An Hui Wenergy Company Limited (SZSE:000543) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for An Hui Wenergy
What Is An Hui Wenergy's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, An Hui Wenergy had CN¥31.8b of debt, up from CN¥19.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥2.86b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥28.9b.
A Look At An Hui Wenergy's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that An Hui Wenergy had liabilities of CN¥11.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥27.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.86b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.07b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥32.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥17.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, An Hui Wenergy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
As it happens An Hui Wenergy has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 15.2 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! We also note that An Hui Wenergy improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥717m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine An Hui Wenergy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, An Hui Wenergy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both An Hui Wenergy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think An Hui Wenergy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for An Hui Wenergy (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000543
An Hui Wenergy
Engages in the generation and supply of electricity in China.
Solid track record average dividend payer.