Stock Analysis

Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's (SZSE:000531) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

SZSE:000531
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding Ltd's (SZSE:000531) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000531 Earnings and Revenue History April 17th 2024

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding expanded the number of shares on issue by 27% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.

If Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the CN¥123m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's Profit Performance

Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding suffered from unusual items which depressed its profit in its last report; if that is not repeated then profit should be higher, all else being equal. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that Guangzhou Hengyun Enterprises Holding has 4 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.