Stock Analysis

Chengdu Gas Group's (SHSE:603053) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

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SHSE:603053

Chengdu Gas Group Corporation Ltd. (SHSE:603053) announced a healthy earnings result recently, and the market rewarded it with a strong uplift in the stock price. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Chengdu Gas Group

SHSE:603053 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024

Zooming In On Chengdu Gas Group's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Chengdu Gas Group had an accrual ratio of -0.19. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥925m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥530.9m. Chengdu Gas Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chengdu Gas Group.

Our Take On Chengdu Gas Group's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Chengdu Gas Group produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Chengdu Gas Group's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 15% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Chengdu Gas Group and we think they deserve your attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Chengdu Gas Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.