Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002930 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002930 (CN¥12.16) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥12.22)

Is 002930 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002930 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002930 (CN¥12.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥12.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002930 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002930?

Key metric: As 002930 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002930. This is calculated by dividing 002930's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002930's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	24.5x
Earnings	CN¥227.05m
Market Cap	CN¥5.50b

002930 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	7.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.8x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002930's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002930 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21.1x
601008 Jiangsu Lianyungang Port	25.9x	n/a	CN¥4.9b
000905 Xiamen Port Development	24.2x	n/a	CN¥4.8b
000507 Zhuhai PortLtd	16.1x	n/a	CN¥4.7b
002040 Nanjing Port	18.4x	n/a	CN¥3.2b
002930 Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics	24.5x	27.0%	CN¥5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002930 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002930's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Infrastructure Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002930 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the CN Infrastructure industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002930's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002930 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	24.5x
Fair PE Ratio	17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002930 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.