STO ExpressLtd Valuation

Is 002468 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002468 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002468 (CN¥11.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥45.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002468 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002468?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

002468 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.1x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002468's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002468 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
603056 DEPPON LOGISTICS
18.6x25.4%CN¥15.6b
603871 Jiayou International LogisticsLtd
17.1x24.6%CN¥22.1b
000099 CITIC Offshore Helicopter
59.9x18.2%CN¥14.5b
600057 Xiamen Xiangyu
10x28.3%CN¥14.6b
002468 STO ExpressLtd
31.2x20.5%CN¥17.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002468 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the peer average (26.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002468's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002468 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the CN Logistics industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002468's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002468 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002468 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002468 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.53
CN¥11.12
-3.5%
17.9%CN¥14.20CN¥7.90n/a10
Sep ’25CN¥9.09
CN¥10.17
+11.9%
16.6%CN¥13.65CN¥7.60n/a11
Aug ’25CN¥8.93
CN¥10.07
+12.8%
15.5%CN¥13.65CN¥7.60n/a11
Jul ’25CN¥8.31
CN¥10.18
+22.5%
15.7%CN¥13.65CN¥7.60n/a10
Jun ’25CN¥9.57
CN¥10.05
+5.0%
14.9%CN¥13.65CN¥8.20n/a11
May ’25CN¥9.15
CN¥9.95
+8.7%
15.6%CN¥13.65CN¥8.20n/a11
Apr ’25CN¥8.59
CN¥10.09
+17.5%
23.4%CN¥15.00CN¥7.40n/a10
Mar ’25CN¥7.95
CN¥10.10
+27.1%
24.3%CN¥15.00CN¥6.70n/a10
Feb ’25CN¥6.78
CN¥10.10
+49.0%
24.3%CN¥15.00CN¥6.70n/a10
Jan ’25CN¥7.79
CN¥10.16
+30.5%
22.4%CN¥15.00CN¥7.20n/a11
Dec ’24CN¥8.87
CN¥10.52
+18.6%
21.9%CN¥15.00CN¥7.20n/a11
Nov ’24CN¥9.49
CN¥10.85
+14.3%
19.8%CN¥15.00CN¥8.00n/a10
Oct ’24CN¥10.50
CN¥11.03
+5.1%
21.1%CN¥15.00CN¥8.00CN¥11.5310
Sep ’24CN¥9.95
CN¥11.22
+12.8%
21.5%CN¥15.00CN¥8.00CN¥9.0910
Aug ’24CN¥11.56
CN¥11.15
-3.5%
21.3%CN¥15.00CN¥8.20CN¥8.939
Jul ’24CN¥10.82
CN¥10.03
-7.3%
16.2%CN¥13.30CN¥8.20CN¥8.318
Jun ’24CN¥10.01
CN¥9.86
-1.5%
18.6%CN¥13.30CN¥8.10CN¥9.577
May ’24CN¥10.73
CN¥10.76
+0.3%
25.8%CN¥16.00CN¥8.10CN¥9.157
Apr ’24CN¥11.12
CN¥10.59
-4.8%
28.0%CN¥16.00CN¥6.90CN¥8.597
Mar ’24CN¥9.95
CN¥9.99
+0.4%
29.1%CN¥16.00CN¥6.90CN¥7.957
Feb ’24CN¥10.43
CN¥9.99
-4.3%
29.1%CN¥16.00CN¥6.90CN¥6.787
Jan ’24CN¥10.33
CN¥9.99
-3.3%
29.1%CN¥16.00CN¥6.90CN¥7.797
Dec ’23CN¥10.55
CN¥10.14
-3.9%
25.2%CN¥16.00CN¥7.80CN¥8.878
Nov ’23CN¥10.31
CN¥10.73
+4.0%
21.9%CN¥16.00CN¥7.80CN¥9.498
Oct ’23CN¥12.75
CN¥10.04
-21.3%
17.0%CN¥12.00CN¥6.70CN¥10.508

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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