Stock Analysis

The total return for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd (SHSE:603871) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last five years

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SHSE:603871

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603871) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 253% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 12% gain in the last three months.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 4.8%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 26% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 29% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SHSE:603871 Earnings Per Share Growth June 3rd 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jiayou International LogisticsLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 297%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 81% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 32% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiayou International LogisticsLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Jiayou International LogisticsLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.