Stock Analysis
CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at CTS International Logistics (SHSE:603128), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for CTS International Logistics:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.099 = CN¥652m ÷ (CN¥11b - CN¥4.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, CTS International Logistics has an ROCE of 9.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 7.5% generated by the Logistics industry, it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for CTS International Logistics
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CTS International Logistics compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CTS International Logistics for free.
So How Is CTS International Logistics' ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at CTS International Logistics. The company has consistently earned 9.9% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 59% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 38% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than9.9% because total capital employed would be higher.The 9.9% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 38% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. With that in mind, just be wary if this ratio increases in the future, because if it gets particularly high, this brings with it some new elements of risk.
What We Can Learn From CTS International Logistics' ROCE
Long story short, while CTS International Logistics has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 75% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to know some of the risks facing CTS International Logistics we've found 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603128
CTS International Logistics
A freight forwarding company, engages in the provision of logistics solutions globally.