Stock Analysis

We Think Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd (SHSE:600035) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SHSE:600035
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600035) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd

What Is Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd's Debt?

As you can see below, Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd had CN¥8.45b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.27b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥6.17b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600035 Debt to Equity History March 19th 2024

A Look At Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.94b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.79b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.27b as well as receivables valued at CN¥333.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥7.12b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥6.86b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.4 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd grew its EBIT by 4.1% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. We would also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hubei Chutian Smart CommunicationLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.