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There's Reason For Concern Over Henan Carve Electronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301182) Massive 28% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Henan Carve Electronics Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301182) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 90% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Henan Carve Electronics Technology may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Henan Carve Electronics Technology
What Does Henan Carve Electronics Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Henan Carve Electronics Technology as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Henan Carve Electronics Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Henan Carve Electronics Technology?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Henan Carve Electronics Technology's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 57%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 31% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Henan Carve Electronics Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Henan Carve Electronics Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Henan Carve Electronics Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware Henan Carve Electronics Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Henan Carve Electronics Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301182
Henan Carve Electronics Technology
Henan Carve Electronics Technology Co., Ltd.
Mediocre balance sheet very low.
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