Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Guangdong Green Precision Components' (SZSE:300968) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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SZSE:300968

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Guangdong Green Precision Components Co., Ltd (SZSE:300968) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Guangdong Green Precision Components' shares before the 7th of June to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 7th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.05 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.05 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Guangdong Green Precision Components has a trailing yield of 0.5% on the current stock price of CN¥9.60. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Green Precision Components

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Guangdong Green Precision Components paid out more than half (69%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 91% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

While Guangdong Green Precision Components's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Guangdong Green Precision Components to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see how much of its profit Guangdong Green Precision Components paid out over the last 12 months.

SZSE:300968 Historic Dividend June 3rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Guangdong Green Precision Components's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 19% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Guangdong Green Precision Components's dividend payments per share have declined at 50% per year on average over the past two years, which is uninspiring. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Guangdong Green Precision Components? It's definitely not great to see earnings per share shrinking. The company paid out an acceptable percentage of its income, but an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow over the past year. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

Although, if you're still interested in Guangdong Green Precision Components and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. We've identified 3 warning signs with Guangdong Green Precision Components (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.