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There's Reason For Concern Over DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300790) Massive 28% Price Jump
DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300790) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 46.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 40% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300790
DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd
DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.