Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:300349 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥5.5b

Goldcard Smart Group Valuation

Is 300349 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300349 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300349 (CN¥13.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥8.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300349 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300349?

Key metric: As 300349 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300349. This is calculated by dividing 300349's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300349's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsCN¥408.57m
Market CapCN¥5.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300349's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300349 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.2x
002990 Maxvision Technology
42.8x42.2%CN¥5.9b
301303 Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)
16.7xn/aCN¥5.9b
300416 Suzhou Sushi Testing GroupLtd
26.8x34.3%CN¥6.4b
603416 WuXi Xinje ElectricLtd
22.7x22.1%CN¥5.0b
300349 Goldcard Smart Group
13.4x20.1%CN¥5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300349 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (27.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300349's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Electronic Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
300349 13.4xIndustry Avg. 45.4xNo. of Companies28PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300349 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the CN Electronic industry average (47.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300349's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300349 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio26.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300349 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300349 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥13.15
CN¥17.82
+35.5%
4.6%CN¥18.63CN¥17.00n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥13.28
CN¥17.82
+34.1%
4.6%CN¥18.63CN¥17.00n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥13.37
CN¥15.93
+19.1%
6.8%CN¥17.00CN¥14.85n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥11.49
CN¥15.93
+38.6%
6.8%CN¥17.00CN¥14.85n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥10.91
CN¥17.66
+61.8%
3.7%CN¥18.31CN¥17.00n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥11.98
CN¥17.66
+47.4%
3.7%CN¥18.31CN¥17.00n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥13.22
CN¥16.82
+27.2%
7.7%CN¥18.31CN¥15.15n/a3
May ’25CN¥14.40
CN¥16.82
+16.8%
7.7%CN¥18.31CN¥15.15n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥13.22
CN¥16.74
+26.7%
7.2%CN¥18.08CN¥15.15n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥11.81
CN¥16.74
+41.8%
7.2%CN¥18.08CN¥15.15n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥10.43
CN¥16.74
+60.5%
7.2%CN¥18.08CN¥15.15n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥12.42
CN¥15.98
+28.7%
4.8%CN¥17.00CN¥15.15n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥12.94
CN¥15.98
+23.5%
4.8%CN¥17.00CN¥15.15n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥12.34
CN¥15.98
+29.5%
4.8%CN¥17.00CN¥15.15CN¥13.283
Oct ’24CN¥12.83
CN¥16.29
+27.0%
5.0%CN¥17.00CN¥15.15CN¥13.373
Sep ’24CN¥12.89
CN¥15.83
+22.8%
9.2%CN¥17.00CN¥13.77CN¥11.493
Aug ’24CN¥13.78
CN¥14.92
+8.3%
6.1%CN¥15.99CN¥13.77CN¥10.913
Jul ’24CN¥13.88
CN¥14.92
+7.5%
6.1%CN¥15.99CN¥13.77CN¥11.983
Jun ’24CN¥13.67
CN¥14.92
+9.1%
6.1%CN¥15.99CN¥13.77CN¥13.223
May ’24CN¥13.42
CN¥14.00
+4.3%
15.4%CN¥15.99CN¥11.00CN¥14.403
Apr ’24CN¥12.18
CN¥12.95
+6.3%
12.6%CN¥15.00CN¥11.00CN¥13.223
Mar ’24CN¥12.07
CN¥11.93
-1.2%
7.8%CN¥12.85CN¥11.00CN¥11.812
Feb ’24CN¥11.52
CN¥11.93
+3.5%
7.8%CN¥12.85CN¥11.00CN¥10.432
Jan ’24CN¥9.37
CN¥11.80
+25.9%
6.8%CN¥12.60CN¥11.00CN¥12.422
Dec ’23CN¥9.81
CN¥11.80
+20.3%
6.8%CN¥12.60CN¥11.00CN¥12.942
Nov ’23CN¥9.91
CN¥11.80
+19.1%
6.8%CN¥12.60CN¥11.00CN¥12.342

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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