Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Aisidi (SZSE:002416) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SZSE:002416
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shenzhen Aisidi Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002416) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Aisidi

What Is Shenzhen Aisidi's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Shenzhen Aisidi had CN¥3.22b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥4.55b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥3.12b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥96.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002416 Debt to Equity History September 25th 2024

A Look At Shenzhen Aisidi's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Aisidi had liabilities of CN¥6.42b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥47.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.53b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥815.2m.

Of course, Shenzhen Aisidi has a market capitalization of CN¥11.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Shenzhen Aisidi has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.094 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 13.9 times, it's clear that Shenzhen Aisidi is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Fortunately, Shenzhen Aisidi grew its EBIT by 4.6% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Aisidi's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Shenzhen Aisidi recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Shenzhen Aisidi's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Shenzhen Aisidi takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Aisidi that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.