Stock Analysis

Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's (SZSE:000970) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

SZSE:000970
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Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000970) the stock price made a strong positive move. Our analysis suggests that there are some positive factors lying below the troubling profit numbers which investors are finding comfort in.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech

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SZSE:000970 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥1.0b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥9.76m. Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Surprisingly, given Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥23m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech.

Our examination of Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Zhong Ke San Huan High-Tech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.