Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000586) With Shares Advancing 44%

SZSE:000586
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Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000586) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 44% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 29%.

After such a large jump in price, Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000586 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 5.7% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 50% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's P/S

Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.