Stock Analysis

Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688367) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

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SHSE:688367

Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688367) stock is up by a considerable 44% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd is:

4.8% = CN¥28m ÷ CN¥587m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 6.3% either. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 5.7% seen by Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd was probably the result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

SHSE:688367 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 34% (where it is retaining 66% of its profits), Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd only recently started paying a dividend so the management probably decided the shareholders prefer dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hefei Gocom Information TechnologyLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.