Stock Analysis
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- SHSE:688307
Jiaxing ZMAX Optech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688307) Stock Rockets 31% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Jiaxing ZMAX Optech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688307) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 67%.
After such a large jump in price, Jiaxing ZMAX Optech may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.7x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 38x and even P/E's lower than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Jiaxing ZMAX Optech has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiaxing ZMAX Optech
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Jiaxing ZMAX Optech's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. EPS has also lifted 13% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Jiaxing ZMAX Optech's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Jiaxing ZMAX Optech's P/E?
Jiaxing ZMAX Optech shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Jiaxing ZMAX Optech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiaxing ZMAX Optech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jiaxing ZMAX Optech. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688307
Jiaxing ZMAX Optech
Engages in the research and development, production, and sales of optical lenses and components in China and internationally.