Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Xiamen Leading Optics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605118) P/E Ratio

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SHSE:605118

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.2x Xiamen Leading Optics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605118) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Earnings have risen firmly for Xiamen Leading Optics recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Xiamen Leading Optics

SHSE:605118 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 24th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xiamen Leading Optics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Xiamen Leading Optics' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Xiamen Leading Optics would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Xiamen Leading Optics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Xiamen Leading Optics' P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Xiamen Leading Optics revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Xiamen Leading Optics (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Xiamen Leading Optics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.