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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600130) With Shares Advancing 59%
Despite an already strong run, Ningbo Bird Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600130) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 59% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 36% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may consider Ningbo BirdLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 17.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Ningbo BirdLtd
What Does Ningbo BirdLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Ningbo BirdLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ningbo BirdLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ningbo BirdLtd?
Ningbo BirdLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 64% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Ningbo BirdLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo BirdLtd's P/S?
Ningbo BirdLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Ningbo BirdLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ningbo BirdLtd (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If you're unsure about the strength of Ningbo BirdLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Ningbo BirdLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600130
Ningbo BirdLtd
Researches, develops, produces, and sells mobile phones and motherboards in China.
Flawless balance sheet slight.