Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd.

XSEC:300738 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥12.1b

Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Valuation

Is 300738 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300738 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300738 (CN¥12.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥17.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300738 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300738?

Key metric: As 300738 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300738. This is calculated by dividing 300738's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300738's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio96.8x
EarningsCN¥124.61m
Market CapCN¥12.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300738's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300738 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average65.9x
603881 Shanghai @hubLtd
76.6x28.2%CN¥9.8b
600602 INESA Intelligent Tech
101.2x21.3%CN¥17.0b
300383 Beijing Sinnet TechnologyLtd
49.4x19.9%CN¥19.8b
300017 Wangsu Science & TechnologyLtd
36.3x13.8%CN¥21.9b
300738 Guangdong Aofei Data Technology
96.8x35.6%CN¥12.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.8x) compared to the peer average (66.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300738's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
300738 96.8xIndustry Avg. 73.8xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.8x) compared to the CN IT industry average (73.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300738's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300738 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio96.8x
Fair PE Ratio45.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300738 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥12.12
CN¥12.48
+3.0%
15.5%CN¥16.00CN¥10.50n/a5
Nov ’25CN¥11.90
CN¥12.48
+4.9%
15.5%CN¥16.00CN¥10.50n/a5
Oct ’25CN¥11.91
CN¥12.08
+1.4%
10.4%CN¥14.00CN¥10.50n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥9.18
CN¥12.99
+41.5%
8.1%CN¥14.26CN¥11.47n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥10.11
CN¥12.99
+28.4%
8.1%CN¥14.26CN¥11.47n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥10.20
CN¥12.99
+27.3%
8.1%CN¥14.26CN¥11.47n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥11.01
CN¥12.99
+17.9%
8.1%CN¥14.26CN¥11.47n/a5
May ’25CN¥11.92
CN¥11.64
-2.3%
22.6%CN¥14.26CN¥8.15n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥13.35
CN¥11.15
-16.5%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥9.41
CN¥11.15
+18.4%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥8.04
CN¥11.15
+38.6%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥10.59
CN¥11.15
+5.2%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥9.31
CN¥11.15
+19.7%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥8.75
CN¥11.15
+27.4%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15CN¥11.904
Oct ’24CN¥9.19
CN¥10.58
+15.1%
32.8%CN¥14.80CN¥5.89CN¥11.914
Sep ’24CN¥10.02
CN¥9.17
-8.4%
31.0%CN¥12.83CN¥5.89CN¥9.183
Aug ’24CN¥9.53
CN¥6.42
-32.6%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34CN¥10.112
Jul ’24CN¥10.20
CN¥6.42
-37.1%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34CN¥10.202
Jun ’24CN¥10.90
CN¥6.42
-41.1%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34CN¥11.012
May ’24CN¥10.80
CN¥6.05
-44.0%
28.2%CN¥7.75CN¥4.34CN¥11.922
Apr ’24CN¥12.21
CN¥7.63
-37.5%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥13.353
Mar ’24CN¥11.27
CN¥7.63
-32.3%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥9.413
Feb ’24CN¥8.72
CN¥7.63
-12.4%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥8.043
Jan ’24CN¥7.34
CN¥8.44
+14.9%
27.1%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥10.594
Dec ’23CN¥7.77
CN¥8.67
+11.6%
30.0%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥9.313
Nov ’23CN¥7.71
CN¥8.67
+12.4%
30.0%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥8.753

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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