Thunder Software Technology Co.,Ltd.

XSEC:300496 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥30.2b

Thunder Software TechnologyLtd Valuation

Is 300496 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300496 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300496 (CN¥65.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥94.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300496 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300496?

Key metric: As 300496 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 300496. This is calculated by dividing 300496's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 300496's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6x
SalesCN¥5.06b
Market CapCN¥30.20b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 300496's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 300496 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
002405 NavInfo
7.5x17.2%CN¥24.9b
002410 Glodon
3.4x8.3%CN¥21.0b
300377 Shenzhen Ysstech Info-TechLtd
14.9xn/aCN¥22.1b
600588 Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd
4.4x13.9%CN¥43.2b
300496 Thunder Software TechnologyLtd
6x17.4%CN¥30.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 300496 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 300496's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600718 Neusoft
1.1x17.9%US$1.70b
300047 Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology
1xn/aUS$1.16b
300038 Beijing Shuzhi TechnologyLtd
0.2xn/aUS$52.48m
688555 Essence Information Technology
0.7xn/aUS$12.88m
No more companies available in this PS range
300496 6.0xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies24PS0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 300496 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6x) compared to the CN Software industry average (7.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300496's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300496 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6x
Fair PS Ratio5.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 300496 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300496 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥65.66
CN¥52.10
-20.6%
26.5%CN¥78.59CN¥29.00n/a13
Dec ’25CN¥55.05
CN¥51.03
-7.3%
27.9%CN¥78.59CN¥29.00n/a13
Nov ’25CN¥53.97
CN¥51.75
-4.1%
32.6%CN¥86.62CN¥28.50n/a14
Oct ’25CN¥52.55
CN¥44.06
-16.2%
33.3%CN¥86.62CN¥27.00n/a14
Sep ’25CN¥34.32
CN¥44.06
+28.4%
33.3%CN¥86.62CN¥27.00n/a14
Aug ’25CN¥44.90
CN¥59.22
+31.9%
26.2%CN¥88.00CN¥36.34n/a14
Jul ’25CN¥46.56
CN¥60.76
+30.5%
25.1%CN¥88.00CN¥36.34n/a14
Jun ’25CN¥56.49
CN¥62.24
+10.2%
25.3%CN¥88.00CN¥36.34n/a15
May ’25CN¥48.71
CN¥66.71
+36.9%
26.2%CN¥93.00CN¥36.34n/a15
Apr ’25CN¥52.95
CN¥72.37
+36.7%
20.8%CN¥93.00CN¥48.00n/a14
Mar ’25CN¥62.78
CN¥81.40
+29.7%
25.6%CN¥112.66CN¥50.00n/a14
Feb ’25CN¥50.41
CN¥91.71
+81.9%
18.0%CN¥123.65CN¥64.85n/a15
Jan ’25CN¥80.06
CN¥91.18
+13.9%
17.8%CN¥123.65CN¥64.85n/a15
Dec ’24CN¥82.10
CN¥91.58
+11.5%
18.1%CN¥123.65CN¥64.85CN¥55.0515
Nov ’24CN¥72.94
CN¥91.83
+25.9%
18.3%CN¥123.65CN¥64.85CN¥53.9714
Oct ’24CN¥76.57
CN¥96.81
+26.4%
17.5%CN¥123.65CN¥64.85CN¥52.5513
Sep ’24CN¥79.83
CN¥103.11
+29.2%
18.2%CN¥132.00CN¥64.85CN¥34.3214
Aug ’24CN¥89.30
CN¥112.77
+26.3%
19.6%CN¥156.00CN¥67.12CN¥44.9014
Jul ’24CN¥96.35
CN¥116.93
+21.4%
16.8%CN¥156.00CN¥67.12CN¥46.5613
Jun ’24CN¥99.62
CN¥116.93
+17.4%
16.8%CN¥156.00CN¥67.12CN¥56.4913
May ’24CN¥84.49
CN¥125.01
+48.0%
17.3%CN¥156.00CN¥67.12CN¥48.7113
Apr ’24CN¥108.35
CN¥129.84
+19.8%
14.7%CN¥156.00CN¥77.01CN¥52.9513
Mar ’24CN¥99.45
CN¥133.20
+33.9%
13.8%CN¥156.00CN¥82.48CN¥62.7812
Feb ’24CN¥114.38
CN¥141.62
+23.8%
16.0%CN¥177.00CN¥82.48CN¥50.4112
Jan ’24CN¥100.30
CN¥141.77
+41.3%
16.3%CN¥177.00CN¥82.48CN¥80.0611
Dec ’23CN¥114.39
CN¥141.77
+23.9%
16.3%CN¥177.00CN¥82.48CN¥82.1011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 19:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Thunder Software Technology Co.,Ltd. is covered by 35 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daley LiBofA Global Research
Wing Han ChanCCB International Securities Limited
Ke QuCCB International Securities Limited