Venustech Group Inc.

XSEC:002439 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥20.1b

Venustech Group Valuation

Is 002439 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002439 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002439 (CN¥16.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥7.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002439 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002439?

Key metric: As 002439 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002439. This is calculated by dividing 002439's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002439's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio69.4x
EarningsCN¥289.68m
Market CapCN¥20.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002439's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002439 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average124.5x
688561 Qi An Xin Technology Group
175.3x41.6%CN¥20.8b
300454 Sangfor Technologies
161.7x51.0%CN¥26.5b
300768 Hangzhou DPtech TechnologiesLtd
77.6x23.7%CN¥11.8b
688692 Wuhan Dameng Database
83.4x20.4%CN¥29.4b
002439 Venustech Group
69.4x33.6%CN¥20.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.4x) compared to the peer average (124.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002439's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
000606 Shunliban Information ServiceLtd
2.7xn/aUS$29.57m
No more companies available in this PE range
002439 69.4xIndustry Avg. 92.7xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.4x) compared to the CN Software industry average (92.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002439's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002439 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio69.4x
Fair PE Ratio49.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002439 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (69.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002439 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥16.60
CN¥20.89
+25.8%
19.8%CN¥28.00CN¥12.50n/a11
Nov ’25CN¥16.87
CN¥20.77
+23.1%
22.1%CN¥28.00CN¥12.90n/a11
Oct ’25CN¥17.19
CN¥20.58
+19.7%
24.8%CN¥28.00CN¥12.90n/a12
Sep ’25CN¥13.21
CN¥23.15
+75.2%
16.7%CN¥28.00CN¥17.50n/a12
Aug ’25CN¥15.24
CN¥24.85
+63.1%
13.0%CN¥28.00CN¥17.50n/a12
Jul ’25CN¥17.11
CN¥26.90
+57.2%
6.7%CN¥30.00CN¥22.50n/a12
Jun ’25CN¥18.23
CN¥26.90
+47.6%
6.7%CN¥30.00CN¥22.50n/a12
May ’25CN¥19.65
CN¥26.93
+37.1%
7.2%CN¥30.00CN¥22.50n/a12
Apr ’25CN¥21.25
CN¥31.55
+48.5%
15.3%CN¥40.00CN¥24.50n/a12
Mar ’25CN¥23.02
CN¥32.20
+39.9%
15.6%CN¥40.00CN¥24.50n/a11
Feb ’25CN¥18.88
CN¥35.92
+90.3%
5.7%CN¥40.00CN¥32.00n/a11
Jan ’25CN¥27.00
CN¥37.20
+37.8%
5.5%CN¥41.00CN¥34.00n/a10
Dec ’24CN¥26.13
CN¥37.05
+41.8%
5.5%CN¥40.40CN¥34.00n/a10
Nov ’24CN¥26.04
CN¥37.45
+43.8%
5.8%CN¥40.40CN¥34.00CN¥16.8710
Oct ’24CN¥28.24
CN¥38.61
+36.7%
5.8%CN¥42.56CN¥35.60CN¥17.1910
Sep ’24CN¥28.50
CN¥39.15
+37.4%
6.5%CN¥43.00CN¥35.60CN¥13.2110
Aug ’24CN¥29.47
CN¥40.98
+39.0%
4.5%CN¥44.00CN¥38.00CN¥15.249
Jul ’24CN¥29.76
CN¥41.71
+40.2%
4.3%CN¥44.00CN¥38.00CN¥17.119
Jun ’24CN¥31.54
CN¥40.36
+28.0%
10.9%CN¥44.00CN¥28.25CN¥18.2310
May ’24CN¥31.06
CN¥40.36
+30.0%
10.9%CN¥44.00CN¥28.25CN¥19.6510
Apr ’24CN¥33.25
CN¥33.89
+1.9%
11.3%CN¥40.41CN¥28.25CN¥21.259
Mar ’24CN¥31.07
CN¥33.89
+9.1%
11.3%CN¥40.41CN¥28.25CN¥23.029
Feb ’24CN¥30.11
CN¥31.75
+5.4%
17.5%CN¥40.41CN¥18.50CN¥18.8810
Jan ’24CN¥26.08
CN¥29.98
+15.0%
17.6%CN¥37.05CN¥18.50CN¥27.0010
Dec ’23CN¥27.74
CN¥30.18
+8.8%
17.9%CN¥37.05CN¥18.50CN¥26.1310
Nov ’23CN¥25.54
CN¥27.55
+7.9%
16.7%CN¥34.00CN¥18.50CN¥26.0410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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