Stock Analysis

Here's Why Semitronix (SZSE:301095) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SZSE:301095
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Semitronix Corporation (SZSE:301095) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Semitronix

How Much Debt Does Semitronix Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Semitronix had CN¥70.8m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.53b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.46b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301095 Debt to Equity History March 25th 2024

How Strong Is Semitronix's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Semitronix had liabilities of CN¥189.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥67.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.53b as well as receivables valued at CN¥146.2m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Semitronix is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Semitronix has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On the other hand, Semitronix saw its EBIT drop by 10.0% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Semitronix can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Semitronix may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Semitronix saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Semitronix has net cash of CN¥2.46b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Semitronix's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Semitronix (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Semitronix is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.