Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd.

SZSE:300738 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥11.5b

Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Valuation

Is 300738 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300738 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300738 (CN¥11.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥13.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300738 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300738?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

300738 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA33.2x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300738's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300738 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.3x
603881 Shanghai @hubLtd
70.1x26.7%CN¥8.7b
600602 INESA Intelligent Tech
85.4x18.2%CN¥15.4b
300383 Beijing Sinnet TechnologyLtd
44.8x19.6%CN¥17.0b
000034 Digital China Group
16.8x18.9%CN¥20.1b
300738 Guangdong Aofei Data Technology
77.6x30.5%CN¥11.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.6x) compared to the peer average (54.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300738's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.6x) compared to the CN IT industry average (47.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300738's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300738 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio77.6x
Fair PE Ratio40.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300738 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300738 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.91
CN¥11.64
-2.3%
22.6%CN¥14.26CN¥8.15n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥13.35
CN¥11.15
-16.5%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥9.41
CN¥11.15
+18.4%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥8.04
CN¥11.15
+38.6%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥10.59
CN¥11.15
+5.2%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥9.31
CN¥11.15
+19.7%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥8.75
CN¥11.15
+27.4%
24.8%CN¥14.80CN¥8.15n/a4
Oct ’24CN¥9.19
CN¥10.58
+15.1%
32.8%CN¥14.80CN¥5.89n/a4
Sep ’24CN¥10.02
CN¥9.17
-8.4%
31.0%CN¥12.83CN¥5.89n/a3
Aug ’24CN¥9.53
CN¥6.42
-32.6%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34n/a2
Jul ’24CN¥10.20
CN¥6.42
-37.1%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34n/a2
Jun ’24CN¥10.90
CN¥6.42
-41.1%
32.4%CN¥8.50CN¥4.34n/a2
May ’24CN¥10.80
CN¥6.05
-44.0%
28.2%CN¥7.75CN¥4.34CN¥11.922
Apr ’24CN¥12.21
CN¥7.63
-37.5%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥13.353
Mar ’24CN¥11.27
CN¥7.63
-32.3%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥9.413
Feb ’24CN¥8.72
CN¥7.63
-12.4%
27.5%CN¥10.14CN¥5.01CN¥8.043
Jan ’24CN¥7.34
CN¥8.44
+14.9%
27.1%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥10.594
Dec ’23CN¥7.77
CN¥8.67
+11.6%
30.0%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥9.313
Nov ’23CN¥7.71
CN¥8.67
+12.4%
30.0%CN¥10.85CN¥5.01CN¥8.753
Oct ’23CN¥6.68
CN¥8.77
+31.2%
28.1%CN¥10.85CN¥5.31CN¥9.193
Sep ’23CN¥7.74
CN¥9.00
+16.2%
20.6%CN¥10.85CN¥7.14CN¥10.022
Aug ’23CN¥8.88
CN¥9.00
+1.3%
20.6%CN¥10.85CN¥7.14CN¥9.532

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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