Stock Analysis

After Leaping 30% Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300738) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

SZSE:300738
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Guangdong Aofei Data Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300738) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Guangdong Aofei Data Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Guangdong Aofei Data Technology has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300738 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Aofei Data Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Guangdong Aofei Data Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 24% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 40% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 22% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Guangdong Aofei Data Technology is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got Guangdong Aofei Data Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Guangdong Aofei Data Technology maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangdong Aofei Data Technology (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Aofei Data Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.