Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300380) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 29%
The Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300380) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 126%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd
What Does Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 30% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300380
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd
Provides IT solutions to financial and non-financial customers in China.
Low with imperfect balance sheet.