Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300380) Stock Rockets 35% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300380) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 168% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.6x, you may consider Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 9.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd
What Does Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S
The large bounce in Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300380
Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd
Provides IT solutions to financial and non-financial customers in China.
Low with imperfect balance sheet.