Venustech Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002439 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002439 (CN¥13.11) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥21.2)

Is 002439 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002439 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002439 (CN¥13.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥21.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002439 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002439?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 002439. This is calculated by dividing 002439's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 002439's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥15.87b

002439 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	26.4x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002439's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002439 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	96.6x
300339 Jiangsu Hoperun Software	102.5x	36.7%	CN¥17.3b
688561 Qi An Xin Technology Group	111.3x	37.6%	CN¥14.6b
300454 Sangfor Technologies	114.8x	32.5%	CN¥18.3b
688692 Wuhan Dameng Database	57.8x	21.6%	CN¥18.8b
002439 Venustech Group	42.4x	28.5%	CN¥15.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.4x) compared to the peer average (96.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002439's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	46.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	46.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.4x) compared to the CN Software industry average (57.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002439's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002439 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	42.4x
Fair PE Ratio	37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002439 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002439 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥13.11	CN¥20.58 +57.0%	24.8%	CN¥28.00	CN¥12.90	n/a	12
Sep ’25	CN¥13.21	CN¥23.15 +75.2%	16.7%	CN¥28.00	CN¥17.50	n/a	12
Aug ’25	CN¥15.24	CN¥24.85 +63.1%	13.0%	CN¥28.00	CN¥17.50	n/a	12
Jul ’25	CN¥17.11	CN¥26.90 +57.2%	6.7%	CN¥30.00	CN¥22.50	n/a	12
Jun ’25	CN¥18.23	CN¥26.90 +47.6%	6.7%	CN¥30.00	CN¥22.50	n/a	12
May ’25	CN¥19.65	CN¥26.93 +37.1%	7.2%	CN¥30.00	CN¥22.50	n/a	12
Apr ’25	CN¥21.25	CN¥31.55 +48.5%	15.3%	CN¥40.00	CN¥24.50	n/a	12
Mar ’25	CN¥23.02	CN¥32.20 +39.9%	15.6%	CN¥40.00	CN¥24.50	n/a	11
Feb ’25	CN¥18.88	CN¥35.92 +90.3%	5.7%	CN¥40.00	CN¥32.00	n/a	11
Jan ’25	CN¥27.00	CN¥37.20 +37.8%	5.5%	CN¥41.00	CN¥34.00	n/a	10
Dec ’24	CN¥26.13	CN¥37.05 +41.8%	5.5%	CN¥40.40	CN¥34.00	n/a	10
Nov ’24	CN¥26.04	CN¥37.45 +43.8%	5.8%	CN¥40.40	CN¥34.00	n/a	10
Oct ’24	CN¥28.24	CN¥38.61 +36.7%	5.8%	CN¥42.56	CN¥35.60	n/a	10
Sep ’24	CN¥28.50	CN¥39.15 +37.4%	6.5%	CN¥43.00	CN¥35.60	CN¥13.21	10
Aug ’24	CN¥29.47	CN¥40.98 +39.0%	4.5%	CN¥44.00	CN¥38.00	CN¥15.24	9
Jul ’24	CN¥29.76	CN¥41.71 +40.2%	4.3%	CN¥44.00	CN¥38.00	CN¥17.11	9
Jun ’24	CN¥31.54	CN¥40.36 +28.0%	10.9%	CN¥44.00	CN¥28.25	CN¥18.23	10
May ’24	CN¥31.06	CN¥40.36 +30.0%	10.9%	CN¥44.00	CN¥28.25	CN¥19.65	10
Apr ’24	CN¥33.25	CN¥33.89 +1.9%	11.3%	CN¥40.41	CN¥28.25	CN¥21.25	9
Mar ’24	CN¥31.07	CN¥33.89 +9.1%	11.3%	CN¥40.41	CN¥28.25	CN¥23.02	9
Feb ’24	CN¥30.11	CN¥31.75 +5.4%	17.5%	CN¥40.41	CN¥18.50	CN¥18.88	10
Jan ’24	CN¥26.08	CN¥29.98 +15.0%	17.6%	CN¥37.05	CN¥18.50	CN¥27.00	10
Dec ’23	CN¥27.74	CN¥30.18 +8.8%	17.9%	CN¥37.05	CN¥18.50	CN¥26.13	10
Nov ’23	CN¥25.54	CN¥27.55 +7.9%	16.7%	CN¥34.00	CN¥18.50	CN¥26.04	10
Oct ’23	CN¥20.21	CN¥26.96 +33.4%	15.3%	CN¥34.00	CN¥18.50	CN¥28.24	10
Sep ’23	CN¥18.61	CN¥26.41 +41.9%	13.1%	CN¥30.00	CN¥18.50	CN¥28.50	10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.