Venustech Group Inc.

SZSE:002439 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥23.7b

Venustech Group Valuation

Is 2439 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2439 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002439 (CN¥19.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥24.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002439 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2439?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2439 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA35.6x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2439's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2439 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average131.5x
300454 Sangfor Technologies
187.1x36.6%CN¥22.6b
002268 CETC Cyberspace Security Technology
77.1xn/aCN¥14.8b
600271 AisinoLtd
84.4x62.7%CN¥17.1b
301269 Empyrean Technology
177.5x26.4%CN¥43.3b
002439 Venustech Group
32x19.4%CN¥23.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32x) compared to the peer average (131.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2439's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a47.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a47.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32x) compared to the CN Software industry average (63.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2439's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2439 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32x
Fair PE Ratio37.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002439 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2439 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥19.46
CN¥26.94
+38.4%
7.2%CN¥30.00CN¥22.50n/a12
Apr ’25CN¥21.25
CN¥31.55
+48.5%
15.3%CN¥40.00CN¥24.50n/a12
Mar ’25CN¥23.02
CN¥32.20
+39.9%
15.6%CN¥40.00CN¥24.50n/a11
Feb ’25CN¥18.88
CN¥35.92
+90.3%
5.7%CN¥40.00CN¥32.00n/a11
Jan ’25CN¥27.00
CN¥37.20
+37.8%
5.5%CN¥41.00CN¥34.00n/a10
Dec ’24CN¥26.13
CN¥37.05
+41.8%
5.5%CN¥40.40CN¥34.00n/a10
Nov ’24CN¥26.04
CN¥37.45
+43.8%
5.8%CN¥40.40CN¥34.00n/a10
Oct ’24CN¥28.24
CN¥38.61
+36.7%
5.8%CN¥42.56CN¥35.60n/a10
Sep ’24CN¥28.50
CN¥39.15
+37.4%
6.5%CN¥43.00CN¥35.60n/a10
Aug ’24CN¥29.47
CN¥40.98
+39.0%
4.5%CN¥44.00CN¥38.00n/a9
Jul ’24CN¥29.76
CN¥41.71
+40.2%
4.3%CN¥44.00CN¥38.00n/a9
Jun ’24CN¥31.54
CN¥40.36
+28.0%
10.9%CN¥44.00CN¥28.25n/a10
May ’24CN¥31.06
CN¥40.36
+30.0%
10.9%CN¥44.00CN¥28.25n/a10
Apr ’24CN¥33.25
CN¥33.89
+1.9%
11.3%CN¥40.41CN¥28.25CN¥21.259
Mar ’24CN¥31.07
CN¥33.89
+9.1%
11.3%CN¥40.41CN¥28.25CN¥23.029
Feb ’24CN¥30.11
CN¥31.75
+5.4%
17.5%CN¥40.41CN¥18.50CN¥18.8810
Jan ’24CN¥26.08
CN¥29.98
+15.0%
17.6%CN¥37.05CN¥18.50CN¥27.0010
Dec ’23CN¥27.74
CN¥30.18
+8.8%
17.9%CN¥37.05CN¥18.50CN¥26.1310
Nov ’23CN¥25.54
CN¥27.55
+7.9%
16.7%CN¥34.00CN¥18.50CN¥26.0410
Oct ’23CN¥20.21
CN¥26.96
+33.4%
15.3%CN¥34.00CN¥18.50CN¥28.2410
Sep ’23CN¥18.61
CN¥26.41
+41.9%
13.1%CN¥30.00CN¥18.50CN¥28.5010
Aug ’23CN¥18.65
CN¥28.32
+51.9%
18.0%CN¥38.00CN¥19.00CN¥29.479
Jul ’23CN¥19.56
CN¥29.49
+50.8%
13.9%CN¥38.00CN¥24.00CN¥29.768
Jun ’23CN¥18.21
CN¥30.24
+66.1%
15.4%CN¥38.00CN¥24.00CN¥31.548
May ’23CN¥17.53
CN¥32.69
+86.5%
17.8%CN¥41.88CN¥24.00CN¥31.068
Apr ’23CN¥20.85
CN¥38.24
+83.4%
11.6%CN¥45.00CN¥33.00CN¥33.259

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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