Stock Analysis

Glodon's (SZSE:002410) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

SZSE:002410
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Glodon Company Limited's (SZSE:002410) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to CN¥0.07 on the 23rd of May. This means that the dividend yield is 0.5%, which is a bit low when comparing to other companies in the industry.

See our latest analysis for Glodon

Glodon's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 5,368% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 36%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 12%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

historic-dividend
SZSE:002410 Historic Dividend May 21st 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.131, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.07. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 6.1% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. Over the past five years, it looks as though Glodon's EPS has declined at around 66% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Glodon that investors should take into consideration. Is Glodon not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.