NavInfo Valuation

Is 2405 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2405 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002405 (CN¥7.39) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002405 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2405?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2405 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-11.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2405's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2405 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.4x
688318 Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology
37.9x25.6%CN¥16.7b
002410 Glodon
3x10.5%CN¥19.7b
603927 SinosoftLtd
2.6x12.6%CN¥17.0b
000997 Newland Digital TechnologyLtd
2.1x14.0%CN¥17.1b
002405 NavInfo
5.5x13.6%CN¥17.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 002405 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2405's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a47.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a47.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 002405 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the CN Software industry average (5.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2405's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2405 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 002405 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2405 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥7.39
CN¥7.44
+0.6%
32.5%CN¥12.00CN¥4.50n/a8
Apr ’25CN¥8.59
CN¥8.31
-3.2%
32.9%CN¥12.61CN¥4.50n/a9
Mar ’25CN¥7.55
CN¥9.50
+25.8%
37.3%CN¥16.40CN¥4.50n/a9
Feb ’25CN¥6.67
CN¥10.01
+50.1%
32.5%CN¥16.40CN¥4.50n/a10
Jan ’25CN¥8.90
CN¥11.63
+30.7%
20.9%CN¥16.40CN¥7.00n/a10
Dec ’24CN¥10.03
CN¥11.63
+16.0%
20.9%CN¥16.40CN¥7.00n/a10
Nov ’24CN¥9.89
CN¥12.47
+26.1%
14.2%CN¥16.40CN¥9.90n/a10
Oct ’24CN¥10.13
CN¥12.73
+25.6%
13.2%CN¥16.40CN¥9.90n/a10
Sep ’24CN¥10.32
CN¥12.87
+24.7%
11.6%CN¥16.40CN¥10.90n/a10
Aug ’24CN¥11.16
CN¥13.78
+23.5%
11.6%CN¥16.40CN¥11.30n/a10
Jul ’24CN¥11.58
CN¥13.96
+20.6%
12.0%CN¥16.40CN¥11.50n/a10
Jun ’24CN¥12.00
CN¥14.08
+17.4%
11.4%CN¥16.40CN¥11.50n/a10
May ’24CN¥11.84
CN¥14.43
+21.9%
12.1%CN¥18.00CN¥12.20CN¥7.4610
Apr ’24CN¥13.53
CN¥14.82
+9.5%
12.2%CN¥18.00CN¥12.20CN¥8.5910
Mar ’24CN¥13.24
CN¥14.81
+11.8%
12.1%CN¥17.90CN¥12.20CN¥7.5510
Feb ’24CN¥12.18
CN¥14.81
+21.6%
12.1%CN¥17.90CN¥12.20CN¥6.6710
Jan ’24CN¥11.02
CN¥16.14
+46.5%
12.8%CN¥20.00CN¥13.60CN¥8.909
Dec ’23CN¥11.83
CN¥16.23
+37.2%
16.9%CN¥23.00CN¥13.60CN¥10.0310
Nov ’23CN¥12.14
CN¥17.31
+42.6%
17.0%CN¥23.00CN¥13.70CN¥9.8910
Oct ’23CN¥11.54
CN¥17.51
+51.7%
16.2%CN¥23.00CN¥13.70CN¥10.1310
Sep ’23CN¥13.04
CN¥18.20
+39.5%
19.1%CN¥25.05CN¥13.70CN¥10.3211
Aug ’23CN¥14.35
CN¥18.69
+30.3%
19.9%CN¥25.05CN¥13.70CN¥11.1611
Jul ’23CN¥14.35
CN¥18.36
+28.0%
21.4%CN¥25.05CN¥13.70CN¥11.5811
Jun ’23CN¥13.35
CN¥18.47
+38.4%
20.9%CN¥25.05CN¥13.70CN¥12.0011
May ’23CN¥12.43
CN¥18.64
+49.9%
22.9%CN¥25.05CN¥12.00CN¥11.8410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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