Beijing Join-Cheer Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002279) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%
Despite an already strong run, Beijing Join-Cheer Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002279) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.2% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, Beijing Join-Cheer Software's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.4x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Beijing Join-Cheer Software
What Does Beijing Join-Cheer Software's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Beijing Join-Cheer Software as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Beijing Join-Cheer Software will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Join-Cheer Software will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Beijing Join-Cheer Software's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 68% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Beijing Join-Cheer Software is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Beijing Join-Cheer Software have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
In line with expectations, Beijing Join-Cheer Software maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Beijing Join-Cheer Software with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Join-Cheer Software might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002279
Beijing Join-Cheer Software
Provides management software and digital communication in China.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.